Category Archives: Insurers and the Economy

Affordability, Auto Insurance, Insurers and the Economy, Legal Environment

Uber Joins Effort to Drive Legal System Reform

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By Lewis Nibbelin, Research Writer, Triple-I

Ridesharing platforms like Uber are as vulnerable as other businesses to the cost impacts of legal system abuse – costs that inevitably are passed along to their customers. The company reported a more than 50 percent increase in its ride insurance costs per trip in recent years, despite also recording a lower rate of overall crashes from 2017 to 2022.

Passengers see these costs reflected in trip prices, with insurance accounting for roughly 10 percent of the average rider fare nationwide, or as high as 47 percent in costlier areas like Los Angeles County.

“Insurance for us is the second-highest operating cost after payment to drivers,” said Adam Blinick, Uber’s senior director of public policy and communications, in a recent Executive Exchange interview with Triple-I CEO Sean Kevelighan. “It’s been a bit of a calling card to get more aggressive on litigation and being public about where we see the abuse.”

Coordinated attorney outreach helps fuel the trend. Among motor accident victims surveyed by Protecting American Consumers Together, attorneys contacted 92 percent after their accident, including 57 percent who reported they were contacted by more than one. Solicitation typically occurred within a week of the incident, or “before insurance can play a part in addressing someone’s concerns,” Blinick noted.

“This creates more avenues to push people into these mills and artificially inflate the value of claims,” he said.

Third-party litigation funders play a major role in recruiting claimants. Though lack of transparency surrounding the market conceals its true size, a recent report from the National Insurance Crime Bureau and 4WARN estimates third-party funders spent more than $380 million on online search ads alone between June 2024 and June 2025, with some engaging in brand impersonation and search engine manipulation to mislead consumers and extend litigation.

Research from Triple-I and the Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) estimates excessive litigation added $231.6 billion to $281.2 billion in liability insurance losses from 2015 to 2024, a finding that economic inflation alone cannot explain. A separate Triple-I report on civil case filings reinforces the finding, revealing approximately $42.8 billion in excess litigation value from motor vehicle tort cases filed between 2014 and 2023 in the federal and state civil courts.

“That’s a drop in the bucket to the reality of the problem,” Kevelighan said, “because less than 10 percent of cases had judgments. Others were settled and we can’t necessarily track the settlement data.”

Blinick discussed how uninsured and underinsured motorist (UM/UIM) insurance limits can also attract high claim volumes and disputes, particularly for the rideshare industry. Multiple states require ridesharing businesses to pay $1 million or more for such coverage, with limits in New York set at $1.25 million. Though intended to provide relief for policyholders hit by UM or UIM, these requirements mean bad actors stand to win more from claims, incentivizing excessive lawsuits and fraud.

Staged crashes generate many such claims, with some schemes involving a network of rideshare passengers who are “tied to the law firm, the medical providers, the body shops, the lenders themselves… all across the board,” Blinick said.

He added that many offenders “are the same ones who are doing slip and fall claims and mass tort suits against cities and counties. They’re not picky in terms of who they’re going after. They’re going wherever the opportunity presents itself.”

A 2025 California law that went into effect this year aims to help mitigate fraud by reducing the rideshare industry’s UM/UIM coverage limits from $1 million to $300,000 per accident. Uber has also submitted a November 2026 ballot measure that would cap contingency fees and limit medical damages in vehicle accident cases within the state, as well as shown support for New York’s 2027 budget proposals to combat fraud and unnecessary litigation.

Learn More:

Triple-I Legal System Abuse Awareness Campaign Enters California, Illinois

New York Among Least Affordable States for Auto Insurance

Claims Severity Drives Liability Insurance Losses

Revealing Hidden Cost to Consumers of Auto Litigation Inflation

Litigation Reform Works: Florida Auto Insurance Premium Rates Declining

New Consumer Guide Highlights Economic Impact of Legal System Abuse and Need for Reform

IRC Report Reveals One in Three Drivers Were Either Uninsured or Underinsured in 2023

Affordability, Artificial Intelligence, Insurers and the Economy, Legal Environment

Legal System Abuse, Artificial Intelligence Cloud 2026 Outlook

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By Lewis Nibbelin, Research Writer, Triple-I

Though U.S. economic growth in the coming year remains strong, an ongoing rise in legal system abuse and emerging AI trends may challenge that outlook, according to Chubb chairman and CEO Evan Greenberg in a recent letter to shareholders.

Describing the 2026 market outlook as a “mixed picture,” Greenberg explained that, despite growth drivers like innovation investments and federal deregulation efforts, these gains face challenges from the “cancer” of excessive litigation, which raises costs on “just about everything – transportation, food, construction, insurance and more.” Such expenses amount to an average “tort tax” of $4,000 annually per household, Greenberg argued, and inflate liability insurance costs up 7 percent to 9 percent a year.

“The trial bar is a money-making growth industry, and it continues to expand as lawyers search for new theories of liability to bring more lawsuits,” Greenberg said, adding that third-party litigation funders (TPLF) help turn “courtroom payouts into a speculative asset class.”

Florida has made substantial progress in mitigating these costs through its 2022 and 2023 reforms, contributing to a $4.2 billion increase in business activity and the creation of more than 29,000 jobs, the Perryman Group estimates. Several states, including Georgia, Louisiana, and New York, have also enacted legislation establishing greater oversight of TPLF, spurring similar legislative momentum on a federal level.

Greenberg emphasized the need for continued reforms as courtroom imbalances persist nationwide, noting “it will be a long fight” before policyholders begin to see their impact on insurance premiums and other costs.

Accommodating a digital age

Rapid advancements in AI have bolstered productivity “in all aspects of the underwriting and claims processes,” Greenberg said, facilitating deeper insights, improved customer experiences, and new product innovations. Integrating AI into the insurance industry, however, poses unique hurdles, particularly as companies grapple with an expanding talent gap.

AI adoption can help attract professionals who may otherwise overlook the industry, but upskilling and reskilling current employees is essential to push adoption forward. By investing in AI skill development, such expertise can be paired with “business professionals and managers who know intimately how the business works and what’s required for change,” Greenberg explained.

While any major tech transformation demands “iterative, gritty work,” Greenberg reiterated “the stronger our competitive profile, the more we will grow, which means more employment over time with higher productivity. And remember, when it comes to most insurance, people still want to deal with people. It’s a trust business.”

Learn More:

Triple-I Legal System Abuse Awareness Campaign Enters California, Illinois

Resilient U.S. P/C Market Performance Sets Stage for a Complex 2026

PWC: A.I. Megadeals Spur Insurance M&A Growth

Allstate, Aspen Initiative Seeks to Ease Trust Gap

Tech — Especially A.I. — Is Top of Mind for Global Insurance Executives

Affordability, Homeowners Insurance, Insurers and the Economy, Market Conditions

Bridging the Short-Term Rental Coverage Gap

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By Lewis Nibbelin, Research Writer, Triple-I

As short-term rentals grow increasingly popular, many hosts remain unaware of the added complexity and often higher costs of properly insuring them, according to Triple-I’s latest Outlook.

Though coverage needs will vary, standard homeowners’ insurance policies typically exclude losses from commercial activity, which encompasses a broader range of risks with higher corresponding premiums, the report explains. Because short-term rentals fall under commercial use, rental owners who fail to update their existing policies may face denied claims, reduced liability coverage, higher deductibles, and other serious consequences.

Operating short-term rentals in two-unit or multi-unit dwellings compounds these concerns, as uncovered incidents affect the master insurance policy shared by both the rental unit owner(s) and their neighbors. In such instances, losses can impact the policy terms, conditions, exclusions, and premiums for all residents.

Across single and multi-unit dwellings, commercial activity may violate the permit requirements and operational restrictions set by state and local laws, leading to further policy limitations and potentially cancellation or nonrenewal, the report notes. While short-term rentals most directly increase liability exposure, such policy changes may also impact coverage for physical loss or damage, content loss or damage, and loss of use.

For homeowners planning to rent out their residences, the report outlines the following steps to maintain coverage and remain adequately protected:

  • Notify their insurer: Before operating the rental, owners must contact their insurance carrier, broker, or agent, including the master policy insurance carrier if the dwelling is multi-unit.
  • Comply with policy terms: Rental owners must adhere to their existing homeowners’ policy terms, conditions, and exclusions for short-term rentals, including any restrictions on number of guests and days or nights for rental use.
  • Obtain appropriate coverage: Depending on individual circumstances, rental owners may purchase commercial property insurance, small business insurance, or short-term rental-specific coverages to protect against the commercial risks of short-term rental use. In multi-unit dwellings, all unit owners must collectively purchase new coverage.

Many insurance carriers offer short-term rental endorsements or allow rental periods on standard homeowners’ policies, though restrictions still apply. Consulting with an insurance professional to understand available coverage options is crucial to meeting the specific needs of a given rental unit.

Triple-I’s new Outlook builds on testimony from Triple-I Chief Economist and Data Scientist Dr. Michel Léonard to New York City committee members last year as they considered legislation to expand homeowners’ ability to earn income through short-term rentals. Léonard discussed the potential insurance challenges of the expansion, focusing on the pervasive protection gap among residents using their homes for commercial purposes. Neither bill successfully made it past the city council.

Learn More:

Triple-I Chief Economist Testifies on NYC Measure on Short-Term Rentals

Triple-I Testifies on New York Insurance Affordability

Take Care in Addressing Homeowners’ Premiums, Bloomberg Cautions Policymakers

Insurance Affordability, Availability Demand Collaboration, Innovation

Triple-I Issues Brief: Homeowners Insurance (Members-Only)

Insurance Industry, Insurers and the Economy, Reinsurance and E&S

Triple-I Features Lloyd’s in Latest Issue Brief

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A diagram of Lloyd's, depicting the integration of the 3 core groups in the marketplace: Members, Syndicates, and Managing Agents

Triple-I’s latest Issues Brief, Lloyd’s: Trends and Insights, spotlights one of the world’s leading specialist insurance and reinsurance marketplaces. The brief explains how the nearly 350-year-old platform has functioned differently from the common stand-alone model while evolving into an integral source of capacity and resilience for the global 21st-century risk landscape.

Contrary to a common misperception, Lloyd’s is not a single insurer; rather it’s a marketplace – i.e. hub, network, platform – connecting risk brokers, underwriters, and capital providers who negotiate the transfer of risk. It consists of three core groups:

  • Members: Persons or corporate entities that provide the capital that funds a syndicate.
  • Syndicates: An accounting construct with assets, liabilities, and Profit and Loss (P&L) statement segregated from those of other Lloyd’s syndicates.
  • Managing Agents: Entities appointed by syndicate members to handle underwriting and claims, as well as oversee the governance and operations on behalf of the syndicates.

The arrangement allows policies to have multiple underwriters, enabling each underwriter to  take on more risk than they would have the appetite for as a sole underwriter. As a result, complex and hard-to-place risks can be covered.

​Another distinctive feature of Lloyd’s is its capital structure, also known as the “Chain of Security.”  The brief explains how the Chain of Security is designed to provide the financial backing for all insurance policies written at Lloyd’s. As a result of this setup, the major rating agencies typically apply a single financial strength rating (FSR) to all the policies written through Lloyd’s, regardless of which syndicates participate in the policy.

Successful handling of long-tail and complex risks –  where claims may emerge decades later  –  can be vital to fostering confidence in the larger insurance industry. Throughout its long history, Lloyd’s has been called upon to absorb extreme and unexpected losses while paying claims and recapitalizing. This track record includes playing a key role in supporting U.S. economic recovery, from major disasters, such as the 1906 San Francisco earthquake, the September 11 attacks, Hurricane Katrina, and more recent hurricanes and wildfires.

Managing uncertainty in today’s fast-evolving risk landscape can require keeping abreast of interconnected threats that outpace traditional risk management strategies. Insurers and risk managers can improve the prediction and prevention of emerging threats across core strategic areas:

  • ​advancing analytics capabilities
  • strengthening capital resilience
  • collaborating across the industry

Centering these objectives, Lloyd’s cultivates channels for talent development, innovation, and new capital flows.

For example, its London Bridge 2 (LB2) platform gives institutional investors a flexible and efficient means to deploy funds into the Lloyd’s market, attracting approximately $2.5 billion in new capital since its launch in 2022. Lloyd’s education platform supports the sustainable growth of the market by equipping professionals with the insight needed to navigate the emerging risk landscape. And, Lloyd’s Lab – a product development accelerator designed to rapidly develop, test, and refine new products, concepts, and solutions – supported 48 U.S. startups, which collectively have raised $490 million to scale solutions tackling wildfire, flood, and cyber risks.

The United States is Lloyd’s largest market, accounting for roughly half of the marketplace’s global premiums. Excess and surplus underwriting accounts for over 60 percent of Lloyd’s total premiums written in the U.S. In 2024, this share worked out to $20.8 billion in surplus lines insurance capacity, approximately 16 percent of the entire U.S. surplus lines market.  Additionally, Lloyd’s gross written premiums for U.S. reinsurance totaled $9.86 billion in 2024, with the marketplace ceding around $2.9 billion annually in reinsurance premiums to U.S. reinsurers.

This special edition of the Triple-I issue brief series is part of ongoing efforts to educate and raise awareness about how insurance market participants support coverage affordability and availability.

Homeowners Insurance, Insurers and the Economy, Legal Environment

Take Care in Addressing Homeowners’ Premiums, Bloomberg Cautions Policymakers

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By Jeff Dunsavage, Senior Research Analyst, Triple-I

While rising homeowners’ insurance can be a problem for some consumers, a recent Bloomberg editorial cautions policymakers against pursuing “simplistic solutions, such as capping premiums, subsidizing homebuyers, or punishing investors.”

Instead, it recommends taking steps to increase investment in catastrophe resilience and mitigate claim cost drivers, such as legal system abuse.

Bloomberg attributes slumping condominium prices and rising rents, in part, to increasing homeowners’ insurance premiums.

“Average homeowners insurance premiums rose almost 25 percent from 2019 to 2024 in real terms,” the editorial says. While politicians “have been quick to blame greedy insurers,” the reality is more complicated. Contributing factors include:

  • Increasingly costly disasters – evidenced by a sharp increase in billion-dollar catastrophes. In 2025, Bloomberg says, insured losses from such calamities reached $108 billion.
  • Insufficient investment by states in disaster resilience measures, “such as retrofitting public works and enforcing appropriate building codes”.
  • Escalating legal costs that are passed on to homeowners.

“In many states,” Bloomberg says, “underwriters must contend with laws that favor plaintiffs, outsized jury awards, and a proliferation of funds that specialize in financing lawsuits. Research suggests that such costs have been the single biggest driver of premium increases in recent years.”

Also feeding higher premiums are increased replacement costs related to record inflation during and since the COVID-19 pandemic.

In attempts to address these rising costs, several states in recent years have introduced legislative measures that would do more harm to homebuyers than good. Illinois insurers last year narrowly avoided increased government involvement in insurance pricing as state legislators rejected “an extreme prior-approval system found nowhere else in the country,” according to a joint statement from the American Property Casualty Insurance Association, the National Association of Mutual Insurance Companies, and the Illinois Insurance Association.

When California tried to artificially suppress premiums, “underwriters fled the market and left homeowners and the state’s insurer of last resort exposed to last year’s horrific wildfires”.  Since then, the state has allowed significant premium rate increases to lure insurers back.

Bloomberg recommends that states start by prioritizing the resilience of buildings and public works.

“Tax breaks and grants for hardening homes against floods, fire, and wind are a short‑term expense with long‑term benefits,” the editorial says, citing research that found communities lose as much as $33 in future economic activity for every $1 not invested in preparedness.

“The federal government, for its part, should commit to restoring FEMA’s pre‑disaster mitigation program and similar efforts,” Bloomberg says. “With strong oversight, such investment can protect property, limit job losses, accelerate rebuilding, reduce premiums, improve public health, and ultimately save money and lives.”

When it comes to litigation trends that put upward pressure on claim costs and, ultimately, premium rates, Florida offers an encouraging example.

“In 2021, the state was home to 6.9 percent of homeowner claims but 76 percent of the lawsuits against insurers,” Bloomberg says. “State lawmakers enacted reforms over the next two years that limited plaintiffs’ ability to allege negligence and recoup expenses, with significant results: At least 17 new insurers entered the market and dozens reduced premiums.”

Triple-I, its members, and its partners have long been engaged in helping policymakers and the public understand the forces that affect insurance affordability and availability and how they can help mitigate the factors that drive up costs.  

“It’s refreshing to see this type of thoughtful analysis of the homeowners’ insurance market by an authoritative financial news organization like Bloomberg,” said Triple-I CEO Sean Kevelighan.  “Consumers and policymakers need to understand that higher premiums are a symptom of the current risk environment, not its cause.”

Learn More:

Triple-I Testifies on New York Insurance Affordability

Florida Governor Touts Auto Insurance Rebates, Tort Reform Success

Resilience Investment Payoffs Outpace Future Costs More Than 30 Times

JIF 2025: U.S. Policy Changes and Uncertainty Imperil Insurance Affordability

Allstate, Aspen Initiative Seeks to Ease Trust Gap

Illinois Lawmakers Reject Risk-Based Pricing Challenge

New Illinois Bills Would Harm — Not Help — Auto Policyholders

Insurance Affordability, Availability Demand Collaboration, Innovation

Disasters, Litigation Reshape Homeowners’ Insurance Affordability

Tariff Uncertainty May Strain Insurance Markets, Challenge Affordability

Affordability, Auto Insurance, Insurers and the Economy, Legal Environment

New York Among
Least Affordable States for Auto Insurance

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By Lewis Nibbelin, Research Writer, Triple-I

New Yorkers pay the fourth-highest personal auto expenditures in the United States, costing households an average of $1,935 in 2024, or 2.23 percent of the state’s median household income, according to Triple-I’s latest Affordability Outlook.

Up from New York’s average of $1,753 in 2023, Triple-I’s estimates reflect the burgeoning toll of several expenditure cost drivers in the Empire State, many of which are structural factors beyond the insurance industry. Citing data from the Insurance Research Council (IRC) – like Triple-I, an affiliate of The Institutes – the report highlights four cost drivers that rank among the highest in the country, including:

  • Repair costs: New York has the third-highest auto repairs costs in the United States, at $864 more than the national average;
  • Carrier expense index: New York has the third-highest carrier expense index for personal auto insurance, at 14.9 percent of losses;
  • Injury claim costs: New York has the third-highest average injury claim severity in the country, at more than twice the national average; and
  • Accident frequency: New York has the eighth-highest average frequency of personal auto accidents in the nation, at 3.09 accidents.

While traffic density, road conditions, and driver education can contribute to accident frequency and severity, excessive and fraudulent claims litigation also fuel rising auto insurance premiums and overall costs in the state. Wiping out billions of dollars in U.S. economic activity annually, legal system abuse costs New York residents 427,794 jobs and $7,027 for each household per year, earning the state a recurring spot on the American Tort Reform Foundation’s list of “judicial hellholes.”

A surge in staged crashes underpins these figures, leaving drivers increasingly vulnerable to fraudulent damage or injury claims. Such incidents – totaling 1,729 in New York in 2023 – keep upward pressure on auto rates for all policyholders, inflating average auto premium by as much as $300 per year, Triple-I estimates.

To alleviate these cost burdens, a package of state budget proposals was recently unveiled to secure $2 million in funding for investigations into alleged auto fraud and introduce new regulations that extend the timeframe for carriers to report suspicious claims. Another law would cap pain and suffering damages awarded to drivers who engaged in criminal behavior, such as those who were uninsured at the time of the incident.

New York policymakers also passed legislation last month aimed at third-party litigation funding (TPLF), or funding from often anonymous investors who can delay prompt settlements in exchange for a share of larger damage awards, thereby propelling claims costs. Though falling short of mandating TPLF disclosure during litigation, the new law parallels effective tort reforms in other states, offering hope toward insurance market stability.

Homeowners insurance holds steady

Conversely, New York’s homeowners insurance premiums “are relatively average and reasonable as a percentage of household income,” contradicting “the narrative of an affordability crisis in New York’s homeowners insurance market,” said Patrick Schmid, Triple-I’s chief insurance officer, in written testimony to state lawmakers.

With a 2.11 percent ratio of homeowners insurance expenditure to median household income, New York ranks 29th in an affordability study by the IRC, suggesting property and replacement costs contribute to the state’s housing affordability issues.

Policy interventions in insurance markets “would address a symptom rather than the cause” of such issues, Schmid stressed, urging lawmakers to focus instead on improving building material and labor costs; litigation trends; and other inflationary pressures.

While the specific policy levers may differ, Florida’s legal reforms in 2022 and 2023 led to 17 new insurance companies entering the state and rate reductions for dozens of homeowners and auto insurers, including a 6.5 percent average rate decrease for the state’s top five personal auto insurers in 2025.

Once a “poster child” for legal system abuse, Florida’s success demonstrates the need for continued reform in 2026 to promote a more competitive insurance market and greater affordability for consumers.

Learn More:

Triple-I Testifies on New York Insurance Affordability

Florida Governor Touts Auto Insurance Rebates, Tort Reform Success

Litigation Reform Works: Florida Auto Insurance Premium Rates Declining

Insurance Affordability, Availability Demand Collaboration, Innovation

Disasters, Litigation Reshape Homeowners’ Insurance Affordability

Auto Insurance, Business Insurance, General Liability, Homeowners Insurance, Insurers and the Economy, Market Conditions, Workers Compensation

Resilient U.S. P/C Market Performance Sets Stage for a Complex 2026

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By William Nibbelin, Senior Research Actuary, Triple-I 

The U.S. property/casualty insurance industry demonstrated notable resilience throughout 2025, navigating a landscape marked by significant regional catastrophes and shifting economic pressures, according to the latest Insurance Economics and Underwriting Projections: A Forward View report from Triple-I and Milliman.

As the industry moves into 2026, the report notes, it does so from a position of historical strength yet faces an increasingly nuanced outlook shaped by market softening and lingering macroeconomic uncertainties.

The Triple-I/Milliman report is based on data through the third quarter of 2025,

Industry-Wide Performance and Profitability

The P/C insurance industry is forecast to achieve its lowest net combined ratio (NCR) in over a decade for the full year 2025. This achievement is particularly significant, given the challenges faced early in the year, including the devastating Los Angeles wildfires in January 2025.

A key driver of this success was the first Atlantic hurricane season with no U.S. landfall in 10 years. However, while profitability reached peak levels, top-line growth began to moderate. Aggregate net premium growth across all lines for 2025 is expected to be 5.9 percent, reflecting a continued slowing of the growth rate compared to 2024.

“We’re on track to achieve the lowest net combined ratio in over a decade, thanks in part to a hurricane season that spared the U.S. and strong homeowners performance, even after the Los Angeles fires in Q1 2025,” said Patrick Schmid, Ph.D., chief insurance officer at Triple-I. “Growth in personal lines premiums remains solid, and the narrowing gap between personal and commercial lines performance points to a cautiously optimistic outlook for the industry.”

Economic Outlook: Stability Meets Vulnerability

While the broader U.S. economy and the P/C sector remain stable, economists are keeping a close watch on emerging risks. The industry’s ability to maintain its momentum in 2026 may be tested by rising political and geopolitical tensions, as well as potential shifts in the labor market.

“Overall, the P/C insurance industry and the broader U.S. economy remain stable,” said Michel Léonard, Ph.D., CBE, chief economist and data scientist at Triple-I. “However, despite stronger-than-expected GDP growth in the third quarter, a closer look at the data suggests the U.S. economy may be increasingly vulnerable to rising economic, political, and geopolitical uncertainty. In particular, P/C replacement costs could still see significant increases in 2026, weighing on overall P/C performance.”

Léonard further highlighted that the labor market serves as a critical indicator, noting that a rise in the unemployment rate toward 5.0% over the next six months could potentially trigger an economic contraction.

Underwriting Results by Line of Business

Personal lines continue to anchor the industry’s profitability. Personal auto remains a standout performer with a forecast 2025 NCR of 94.4, an improvement over 2024 results. However, premium growth in this sector has slowed significantly, with net written premium growth expected to land at 3.6 percent — its lowest level since 2020. Homeowners’ insurance also showed remarkable recovery. Despite the heavy losses from the Los Angeles fires in the first quarter, the line’s 2025 NCR is forecast at 99.6, placing it on par with 2024 performance.

Commercial lines continue to face ongoing challenges in liability. While most of the industry enjoys profitability, general liability and commercial auto remain the only major lines forecast to stay above a 100 NCR for 2025. General liability continues to struggle with the highest Q3 direct incurred loss ratio reported in over 15 years.

Jason B. Kurtz, FCAS, MAAA, principal and consulting actuary at Milliman, detailed these persistent hurdles.

“General liability faces continued challenges,” Kurtz said. “Our 2025 net combined ratio is forecast to be similar to 2024, among the worst in over a decade. Losses are high, with Q3 direct incurred loss ratios being the highest in at least 25 years.”

He added, “While conditions may improve in 2026-2027, profitability remains a hurdle. Our general liability’s NCR expectations have risen following a challenging Q3, reflecting ongoing pressure in the segment. While some coverages are experiencing soft market conditions, aggregate premiums have been growing, but not enough to keep pace with loss trends.  We anticipate additional premium growth will be needed to improve general liability profitability.”

Workers’ compensation remains the strongest performing major line, with NCRs forecast to stay in the high 80s to low 90s through 2027. This sustained success is attributed to disciplined risk management and favorable prior accident year development.

“NCCI’s latest loss ratio trends continue to show declines,” said Donna Glenn, NCCI chief actuary. “In the current environment, modest year-to-year decreases are still expected.” Glenn noted that “while there have been a few rate increases filed in NCCI states, every state has its own story, and based on the latest data, NCCI does not anticipate any imminent reversal of current trends.”

Affordability, Auto Insurance, Insurers and the Economy, Legal Environment, Regulation

La. Auto Insurance Rates Benefit From Declines
in Frequency, Severity

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By Lewis Nibbelin, Research Writer, Triple-I

More than 20 requests for auto insurance rate decreases have been filed with Louisana’s Department of Insurance by insurers since mid-2025. According to the department, the decreases were driven by reductions in accident frequency and severity.

“I’m glad to see positive movement on auto rates in Louisiana for the first time in years,” said Louisiana Insurance Commissioner Tim Temple. “Because fewer accidents are contributing to these lower losses for insurers, we should not necessarily expect to see this level of decrease in future years unless we continue to pursue legal reform that addresses the foundational reasons our rates are the highest in the country.”

Temple said he hopes for further rate changes as the market continues to stabilize, citing Florida’s recent premium reductions after sweeping tort reform legislation in 2022 and 2023.

Longstanding affordability challenges

Among those who filed for rate decreases include Louisiana’s largest auto insurers, with the latest reductions impacting nearly 470,000 Progressive policyholders, or roughly 23.5 percent of the state’s auto market. More than one million State Farm policies also achieved lower average rates implemented this month.

While the statewide decreases can offer relief for drivers in one of the least affordable states for auto insurance, Temple cautioned that rates for individual policyholders will differ based on personal risk factors, urging consumers to shop among the “30 companies that have taken a rate decrease.”

The announcement arrives less than a year after Louisiana lawmakers passed a 2025 tort reform package to curb excessive lawsuits and a rate of bodily injury claims more than twice the national average. Beyond fueling higher insurance premiums in the state, such practices generate an annual $965 “tort tax” on every Louisianan and cost over 40,562 jobs per year, as highlighted by Triple-I’s consumer awareness campaign to build support for the reforms.

Other 2025 legislative measures, however, stipulate increased regulatory intervention in rate-setting, which can create further strain on an insurance market just beginning to recover. Another bill targeting nuclear verdicts (awards of $10 million or more) also failed to pass, playing a role in the state’s recurring spot on the American Tort Reform Foundation’s annual list of “judicial hellholes.”

Noting that reduced accident frequency contributed to the rate changes, Temple said in a statement that “we should not necessarily expect to see this level of decrease in future years unless we continue to pursue legal reform that addresses the foundational reasons our rates are the highest in the country.”

Lessons from Florida

Measurable benefits from Louisiana’s existing reforms may require a few more years to unfold, Temple added, based on the trajectory of similar legislation in Florida. In 2022, Florida accounted for over 70 percent of the nation’s homeowners claim-related litigation, despite representing only 15 percent of homeowners’ insurance claims, according to the state’s Office of Insurance Regulation (OIR). State legislators responded to the crisis with several tort laws that, among other things, eliminated one-way attorney fees and assignment of benefits (AOB) for property insurance claims.

Under the reforms, 17 new insurance companies have entered the Sunshine State and dozens of homeowners’ and auto insurers have filed for rate decreases, with Citizens Property Insurance – the state’s insurer of last resort – approved for major average rate cuts this spring, according to a recent announcement from Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.

A 50 percent drop in Citizens policies in 2025 helped facilitate the cuts, reflecting the largest transition of policies back to the private market in a decade. Later that year, additional cost-savings achieved through the reforms helped state regulators secure nearly $1 billion in premium refunds for Progressive auto insurance policyholders in the state.

Though the specific policy levers may differ, Florida’s reforms continue to model the kinds of market improvements that states like Louisiana and Georgia can expect after successfully passing their own tort legislation. State government moves like these are essential to eradicating legal system abuse and keeping insurance affordable and available, especially as legislative challenges to legal reform persist.

“Premiums are lowering because we’ve enacted real reforms and withstood the pressure to reverse course,” DeSantis said. “We will hold firm in our commitment not to go back to the broken insurance market of the past.”

Learn More:

Significant Tort Reform Advances in Louisiana

Florida Governor Touts Auto Insurance Rebates, Tort Reform Success

Litigation Reform Works: Florida Auto Insurance Premium Rates Declining

Louisiana Senator Seeks Resumption of Resilience Investment Program

Louisiana Reforms: Progress, But More Is Needed to Stem Legal System Abuse

Who’s Financing Legal System Abuse? Louisianans Need to Know

Industry Financials, Insurers and the Economy, Market Conditions, Technology

PWC: A.I. Megadeals Spur Insurance M&A Growth

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By Lewis Nibbelin, Research Writer, Triple-I

Deals exceeding $1 billion drove insurance industry mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in 2025, aligning with a surge of artificial intelligence-based megadeals in the broader M&A market, according to PwC’s U.S. Deals 2026 Outlook. While total M&A deal value rose to $1.6 trillion through November 30 – the second-highest value ever recorded – the insurance sector remained consistent, though ongoing economic uncertainty could challenge this stability.

Upward trends emerge

Owing 93 percent of its value to megadeals, the insurance industry’s deal volume totaled $31.8 billion during the second half of 2025, compared to $30 billion during the previous six months. Heading into 2026, PwC projects that both improved loss ratios and rising pressure on property and casualty rates will facilitate further deals, as the industry’s performance can attract investors while also leading carriers to seek growth through more acquisitions.

“In coming months, expect interest rate developments and an industry-wide search for growth to strongly influence insurance deals activity,” said Mark Friedman, PwC U.S. insurance deals leader.

Conversely, total M&A market value increased by 45 percent from 2024, with more than 20 percent of its 74 deals valued at $5 billion or more relating to A.I. Such market activity suggests “A.I. is significantly accelerating software and consumer goods development” by boosting portfolio strategies, operational efficiencies, and other gains across various industries, the report notes.

Ramzi Ramsey, a senior managing director at Blackstone Growth, emphasized the increasing role of A.I. as a core driver of M&A growth, arguing that “companies who are viewed to benefit from AI tailwinds are seeing outsized multiples and deal activities,” whereas “companies where AI is viewed to be a detractor, or if the AI impact is cloudy, may have no bid.”

Middle-market lags

Though still the third-largest in the past decade, overall M&A market volume rose by only 2 percent from 2024, with middle-market deals between $100 million to $1 billion slumping to their lowest volume since at least 2013. Tariff policy shifts largely fueled these figures, reflecting greater caution among dealmakers – particularly smaller businesses – as supply-chain risks became more unpredictable.

While sudden policy changes and recent trade disputes could persist into the new year, PwC’s report found that “interest rate cuts this year have already helped mid-tier corporates, and further Federal Reserve Board action in 2026 could go a long way in relieving pressure on them,” especially as current tariff policies continue to stabilize.

In combination with declining interest rates, “products that can withstand declining consumer performance and confidence” should help the insurance sector remain active in 2026, the report adds, pointing to A.I. investments as essential to maintaining “solid ground” in the M&A market.

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Affordability, Disaster Preparedness, Disaster Resilience, Homeowners Insurance, Hurricane, Insurers and the Economy, Roof Condition, Severe Convective Storm, Tornado, Wind

Storm-Resistant Roof Efforts Gain Ground

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By Lewis Nibbelin, Research Writer, Triple-I

Severe convective storms cost insurers an estimated $46 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, Gallagher Re has reported, marking the third straight year of U.S. claims from these events through September exceeding $40 billion. Total losses from these storms – which include tornadoes, hail, straight-line winds, and drenching thunderstorms – reflect growing impacts from inland flooding and, in particular, the vulnerability of roofs to damage from these storms.

Approximately 70 to 90 percent of total insured residential catastrophic losses arise from roof-related damage, according to Insurance Institute for Business & Home Safety (IBHS) estimates. Though poorly maintained roofs contribute to this finding, outdated building codes exacerbate the risk, leading insurance industry leaders to advocate for widespread adoption of FORTIFIED roof standards.

Developed by IBHS, FORTIFIED standards can reduce severe weather damage in new or retrofitted homes through construction methods like sealing roof decks and anchoring roofs to wall framing using stronger nails. While such standards remain voluntary, Louisiana has modelled the proactive approach needed to facilitate adoption with the recent expansion of its Louisiana Fortify Homes Program, which began offering homeowners thousand-dollar grants to retrofit their houses along these guidelines in 2023, incentivizing roughly 40 percent of the now 10,000 FORTIFIED roofs in the state.

“FORTIFIED roofs are the long-term solution for affordable insurance in South Louisiana,” said state insurance commissioner Tim Temple, noting that his office aims to implement bigger and more standardized insurance discounts for FORTIFIED homeowners to reinforce the state’s already improved insurance rates.

An emerging trend

Though Louisiana became the “fastest-growing state” to adopt FORTIFIED standards, Alabama pioneered incentivizing them through its own Strengthen Alabama Homes program, financed by the insurance industry with more than $86 million in grants since 2016. Designed to enhance community resiliency while also lowering insurance rates, completed retrofits qualify residents for premium discounts ranging from 25 to 55 percent.

A May 2025 study from the Alabama Department of Insurance, in collaboration with the University of Alabama Center for Insurance Information and Research, showcases the program’s success, highlighting that FORTIFIED homes suffered less property damage and fewer insurance claims than homes built using other construction methods when Hurricane Sally made landfall in the state.

“The Center’s Hurricane Sally report doesn’t just quantify the effectiveness of the FORTIFIED program, it clearly demonstrates that homes can be built to survive storms, making them eminently more insurable,” said IBHS CEO Roy Wright. “This report should be a clarion call to communities across the country, urging them to implement Alabama’s multipronged approach to promoting disaster mitigation.”

Insurers answered the call in Oklahoma, North Carolina, and South Carolina, all of which boast similar programs backed by the insurance sector and accompanying premium reductions. Mississippi nearly joined their ranks before state funding for the grant program was suspended earlier this year, though insurance discounts remain available. States such as Florida, Georgia, and Minnesota also offer comprehensive insurance discounts for FORTIFIED properties, with the latter poised to fully replicate a grant program in response to mounting hailstorms.

Addressing cost concerns

While 75 percent of homeowners express willingness to invest in weather-resistant features, only 18 percent have reinforced or replaced their roofs with those materials, a recent Nationwide survey reveals. Grants help lower the cost of entry to FORTIFIED roofs for many homeowners, but it is worth noting the relative affordability of such upgrades, which can cost as little as $500 for a 2,000 sq. ft. home.

Describing the benefits of FORTIFIED standards as “measurable and increasingly essential,” Nationwide Property & Casualty president and COO Mark Berven emphasized the crucial role insurance agents play in raising consumer awareness of these risk reductions and their broad accessibility.

“Our industry needs to remind homeowners they have control in the face of severe weather events,” Berven wrote. “By investing in resilience, they can take an active role in protecting their homes, their valuables and their memories – giving them the peace of mind they’re looking for.”

Learn More:

Why Roof Resilience Matters More Than Ever

Study Touts Payoffs From Alabama Wind Resilience Program

Resilience Investment Payoffs Outpace Future Costs More Than 30 Times

Outdated Building Codes Exacerbate Climate Risk

FEMA Highlights Role of Modern Roofs in Preventing Hurricane Damage

Louisiana Senator Seeks Resumption of Resilience Investment Program