All posts by Jeff Dunsavage

Triple-I Briefing: Surplus Is Key to Insurers KeepingPolicyholder Promises

The insurance industry can meet its obligations to policyholders in the midst of the coronavirus pandemic – but government interventions being discussed threaten to unravel this safety net and could make it impossible for insurers to affordably provide essential coverage in the future.  

These are among the conclusions shared by Triple-I chief economist Steven Weisbart and senior economist Michel Léonard in a briefing today that explained how the industry already has been affected by the pandemic and subsequent recession; how policyholder surplus ensures funds are available to cover claims; and how any attempt to retroactively apply this pandemic to business interruption policies would cause irreparable harm to the financial stability of the property-casualty insurance industry. 

“Insurers price their policies for expected claims, with additional monies set aside for unexpected claims, such as those which are filed during exceptionally severe hurricane seasons,” Dr. Weisbart said. “The policyholders’ surplus backs up every line of insurance each insurer writes. It is calculated as assets, minus liabilities, and rises and falls due to changes in asset values.”   

Dr. Weisbart and Dr. Leonard explained in detail how surplus works and showed how – under a variety of plausible scenarios – retroactively rewriting insurance contracts could make it impossible for insurers to play their critical role as financial first responders

“If insurers nationwide had to pay business interruption policy claims for which they collected no premium, it could cost the industry each month anywhere from roughly $150 billion to nearly as high as $380 billion,” said Léonard, noting that the smaller amount accounted for the U.S.’s small and medium-size businesses that currently have business interruption coverage and the larger amount includes those who do not. “Pandemic-caused losses are excluded from standard business interruption policies because they impact all businesses, all at the same time.”   

If you missed the briefing, you can view the presentation.  

Related Links: 

Coronavirus: Issues and impacts  

Triple-I Fact Sheet: Insurers Are Engaged In the COVID-19 Crisis
Triple-I Publication: A Firm Foundation: How Insurance Supports the Economy

Triple-I Publication: A Firm Foundation: How Insurance Supports the Economy

 
Triple-I Blog

COVID-19: Learning From History 

COVID-19: A Teachable Moment for Thinking About Risk 

Putting Car Insurance Prices Into Perspective

As car insurers help their customers cope with the pandemic’s economic impact through premium refunds and other relief measures and some groups complain the efforts are insufficient and ask regulators to make insurers pay more, it’s worth noting that the cost of insuring motor vehicles  has grown more slowly than inflation over the past 12 months and well below prices for hospital services and car repairs – two key drivers of car insurance claims.

As the chart below shows, year-over-year increases in auto insurance prices have trailed growth in the Consumer Price Index, the most widely used measure of inflation. 

“Auto premiums are kept relatively low by competition among insurers,” explained Triple-I chief economist Steve Weisbart. “This has been happening even as two major contributors to claims have grown much faster. In the case of hospital services, prices have not just been rising – growth has been accelerating since last July.”

You read that right. Even as two of the biggest contributors to claims – the money insurers pay policyholders after accidents – have grown faster than inflation, the prices policyholders pay for coverage have grown more slowly than consumer prices generally.

Many factors come into play when an insurer determines an individual’s premium payment – age, driving record, where and how far one generally drives, and much more; and, let’s face it, no one likes to pay for insurance or to see their payments go up. 

But think about it: even though you might roll the dice if your state didn’t require you to have insurance, would that really be a wise move? Would you really want to be on the hook for the full cost of damage to your car or that of another driver? Or for the liability associated with someone’s injury or death?

That premium payment provides an awful lot of value in terms of peace of mind – IF you think about it.  And, if you think further about it, you have more control over how much you pay for car insurance than you do over other products and services.  You can shop around. You can change how much or what type of coverage you buy. You can bundle auto with other coverages. You can get fewer tickets and improve how you handle your credit.

And as usage-based insurance, powered by telematics, gains traction, your options will only increase.

Compare this with, say, cable and satellite TV. Your ability to shop around is quite limited (though improving with each new streaming opportunity that comes online). The products you really want come bundled with others you would never pay for if you had a choice.

And the prices of these services, as the chart below shows, continue to grow at rates well above both CPI and car insurance.

CORONAVIRUS WRAP-UP: PROPERTY AND CASUALTY (4/16/2020)

Legislation and regulation
Democrats Plan Legislation to Force Insurance Companies to Pay Out for Pandemic Losses
Thompson Introduces the Business Interruption Insurance Coverage Act
Lawmakers Advocate Stimulus Aid to Insurers on Business Interruption
SC Proposes Bill Over Coronavirus-related Business Interruption Claims
NJ offers grace period for insurance premium expenses
Coronavirus Regulations: A State-By-State Week In Review
Litigation
COVID-19, business interruption and bad faith litigation
P/C Industry Impact
No Evidence COVID-19 Industry Loss Will Match Large Catastrophe Years: Flandro
How Insurance Claims Pros Are Adjusting to Pandemic Complications
COVID-19 Response ‘Could Bankrupt the Insurance Industry’: Insurance Defense Lawyer
Coronavirus response: Short- and long-term actions for P&C insurers
Auto Insurance
Analysts: Auto Insurance Coronavirus Rebates a Solid Move in Short Term
Will Fewer Drivers on the Road Mean Lower Auto Losses? It Depends
Auto Insurers Offer Rebates as Traffic Abates During Pandemic
Business Interruption
Neglecting Idle Facilities Amid COVID-19 Will Cost Companies, Warns FM Global
Cyber
Working From Home? Don’t Let Cyber Criminals Break In
Hospital Hackers Seize Upon Coronavirus Pandemic
Workers Compensation
COVID-19 Comp Expansions Could Have Significant Impact on Industry

CORONAVIRUS WRAP-UP: PROPERTY AND CASUALTY (4/15/2020)

Litigation
Legal Experts Prepare for Battles Over Business Interruption Cover
Travelers Sued Over Coronavirus Coverage
Meal Delivery Services Sued Over Restaurant Prices Amid Pandemic
Pandemic Relief
Swiss Re Donates CHF 5 Million to Support COVID-19 Relief Efforts
Axis Capital, Swiss Re Pledge Donations to Pandemic Relief
Australia’s QBE to Raise $825 Million to Counter Coronavirus Crisis
CA Workers Comp Fund Creates Virus Relief Programs for Policyholders
Coronavirus Litigation Against Nursing Homes Takes Off in Tennessee
Regulation and Legislation
AL Regulator Eases Process for Auto Insurers to Reduce Policyholder Premiums
CA Insurers Ordered to Give Refunds
Politicians Push Insurers to Resolve Mounting Disputes Over COVID-19 Losses

Related:
Risk Manager is Suddenly a Hot Job
How Homeowners Insurance Claims Have Changed During the Pandemic

CORONAVIRUS WRAP-UP: PROPERTY AND CASUALTY (4/14/2020)

Automobile Insurance
Auto Insurers Issuing $10.5 billion in Coronavirus Refunds
CA Orders Insurers to Pay Back Premiums Due to Virus
Business Interruption
FL Restaurant Files Class Action Seeking Virus Cover
Trump Suggests Insurers Should Pay Virus Business Interruption Claims
Trump Pressures Insurers Over Coronavirus Business Coverage Gray Area
GOP Senators Urge Trump to Protect Insurers From State Legislation
Pandemic Insurance/Catastrophe Bonds
Pandemic Insurance Has Yet to Pay Out to Poor Countries
World Bank Pandemic Cat Bonds and Swaps Not Triggered for Payout Yet
Workers Compensation
OSHA backtracks on recordability of COVID-19
KY Extends COVID-19 Workers Comp to Grocery Workers
IL expands COVID-19 Comp Protections to Most Frontline Workers
New Workers’ Comp Rule Slammed by Business Groups
Have You Considered COVID-19’s Workers’ Comp Implications for Frontline Workers?
MN Legislature Passes COVID-19 Workers’ Comp Bill for First Responders
CA Boosts Worker’s Comp, Insurance Benefits for COVID-19 Diagnosis
Health Strategy Associates Surveys Workers’ Comp Payers on COVID-19
Coalition Against Insurance Fraud: Rapid National Response Urged to Head Off Coming Wave of COVID-19 Insurance Scams

CORONAVIRUS WRAP-UP: PROPERTY AND CASUALTY (4/13/2020)

Auto Insurance
Car Insurance Refunds Become Standard Issue
State Farm Rolls Out $2 Billion Consumer Financial Relief Program
The Landscape Has Changed Dramatically’: Donelon Calls for Lower Car Insurance Rates
Business Interruption Insurance
COVID-19, Business Interruption Coverage, and the ‘Physical Loss or Damage’ Requirement
S.C. Bill Would up Pressure on Insurers to Cover Business Interruption
Insurers Can’t Cover Everything
With Hollywood on Hiatus, Studios Bracing for Fights With Insurers Over Coronavirus Losses
Proposed Backstop Would Cover Pandemic Business Interruption
Claims
Best’s Insurance Law Podcast Discusses Impact of COVID-19 on Claims
Coronavirus comp claims present challenges: Experts
Cyber
State-Backed Hackers Taking Advantage of Outbreak: Officials
The Line Between Biological and Cyber Threats Has Never Been So Thin
Hackathons Target Coronavirus
Impacts by Industry
Shifts in Manufacturing Create New Exposures: Experts
6 Critical COVID-19 Risks Facing the Health Care Industry
Tracking U.S. Small and Medium Business Sentiment During COVID-19
Pharmacy Workers Are Coming Down With COVID-19. But They Can’t Afford to Stop Working
6 Critical COVID-19 Risks for the Construction Industry

Coronavirus Wrap-up: Property and Casualty (4/9/2020)

Estate of Illinois Worker Who Died From COVID-19 Sues Walmart
Pricing Impact of COVID-19 Likely ‘Dramatic’: MarketScout
Federal and State OSHAs Overrun With COVID-19 Complaints
Insurance Companies Offering Relief During Pandemic
Options for Those Struggling to Pay Their Auto Insurance Premiums During Pandemic
Addressing Challenges of COVID-19: From Underwriting to Claims
Rise in Searches for ‘How to Set Fire’: A Sign Insurance Fraud Beckons as Economy Crashes?
Zoom Sued for Not Disclosing Privacy, Security Flaws
Sailors Cleaning Coronavirus-Stricken Carrier Lack Protective Gear
Colorado’s Marijuana Businesses Can Remain Open During Pandemic but Say They’re Still Struggling
Practical Business and Insurance Considerations for Hotels, Restaurants During COVID-19 Crisis
Is It Safe To Travel Anywhere? Your Coronavirus Questions Answered
SBA Overwhelmed with Demand. Is it Up to the Task of Responding to Coronavirus?
Driving Less During Coronavirus Outbreak? You Could Get an Auto Insurance Discount
Progressive, Travelers, USAA Latest to Offer Discounts, Other Accommodations
Insurance Industry Charitable Foundation COVID-19 Crisis: IICF Children’s Relief Fund
Museums Hope Thieves Stay Home Too
A.M. Best: Event Cancellation Insurers May Exclude Future Pandemics
U.S., Britain Warn That Hackers Increasingly Use Coronavirus Bait

Coronavirus wrap-upLife/Health(4/8/2020)

A.M. Best Holds Stable Outlook on U.S. Health Industry Amid COVID-19 Pandemic Crisis

Insurance rating agency A.M. Best said it is maintaining its stable market segment outlook on the U.S. health insurance industry, despite the impact of the COVID-19 virus outbreak. It cited:

  • A trend of strong earnings;
  • Strengthened risk-adjusted capitalization;
  • Lower-than-estimated utilization and medical cost trends; and
  • The cancellation or postponement of visits for routine care and elective procedures.

U.S. life insurers’ growing commercial mortgage portfolios may face virus pressure

U.S. life insurers continued in 2019 to increase their holdings of commercial mortgage loans, an asset class that industry participants say faces unique challenges during the coronavirus pandemic, S&P Global reports. The long-term nature of commercial mortgages makes them a good asset match for the long-duration liabilities life insurers carry. However, commercial mortgage loans could be under stress as the pandemic-sparked economic slowdown continues.

Calls for Medicaid expansion renewed as COVID-19 outbreak strains health care system

More than 50 Texas health policy and industry groups are urging Gov. Greg Abbott to expand the state’s Medicaid program to cover more than 1 million people as a way to slow the spread of the coronavirus and the illness it causes, COVID-19.

Coronavirus Reset: How to Get Health Insurance Now

Millions of people have lost jobs — and often the health coverage that came with those jobs. More still have had their work hours reduced or have received drastic pay cuts, so monthly premiums that may have been manageable before are now out of reach.

Estimated Cost of Treating the Uninsured Hospitalized with COVID-19

A great deal of uncertainty surrounds how the COVID-19 epidemic will evolve, including how many people will become infected and how many will become severely ill and require hospitalization. The Kaiser Family Foundation provides a range of cost estimates for the Trump administration’s proposal to reimburse hospitals for COVID-19 treatments for uninsured patients, based on results from recent studies and models.

Coronavirus Wrap-up: Property/Casualty (4/7/2020)

Below are abstracts and links to recent articles related to coronavirus from a property and casualty insurance perspective.

Auto:
Less driving, fewer accidents: Car insurers give millions in coronavirus refunds

One of the largest car-insurance companies in the country and a smaller Midwestern auto insurer are refunding hundreds of millions of dollars to their policyholders, citing a dramatic drop in accident claims from Americans hunkered down in their homes, The Wall Street Journal reports.

Allstate providing more than $600M to auto insurance customers amid pandemic

Allstate announced that it’s providing a Shelter-in-Place Payback to help its personal auto insurance customers during the pandemic.

Business Interruption:

This insurance would have helped in coronavirus crisis; nobody bought it

PathogenRX, a parametric insurance policy developed by broker Marsh, Munich Re, and technology firm Metabiota, is designed to provide business interruption insurance in the event of a pandemic, Insurance Journal reports.

Wimbledon nets £100m coronavirus cancellation payout

When the coronavirus outbreak forced the cancellation of Wimbledon it looked like game, set, and match against the All England Club. It turns out, The Times reports, that the club has insurance that covers infectious diseases and is putting together a claim potentially in excess of £100 million.

Insurers warn on forced payouts for uncovered coronavirus losses

World insurers told governments on Monday that making them pay out on losses suffered due to the coronavirus that were not covered by policies risked destabilizing the insurance industry, Reuters reports.

Considering a business interruption insurance claim due to COVID-19? Check your policy first

Insurance brokers say viruses and pandemics are specific exclusions in many such policies, which are often included with standard property and casualty coverage. But whether COVID-19 is the basis for a business interruption claim remains an open question as government leaders and the plaintiffs’ bar wrestle over the issue.

How social inflation may affect coronavirus business interruption losses

COVID-19 could produce a big increase in social inflation, according to A.M. Best. The reason: expectations that businesses will sue their insurers in an attempt to access their business interruption coverage for losses relating to the coronavirus pandemic.

After SARS, insurers changed policies covering businesses

SARS infected 8,000 people and led to millions of dollars in business-interruption insurance claims – including a $16 million payout to a single hotel chain. As a result, The Washington Post reports, many insurers added exclusions to standard commercial policies for losses caused by viruses or bacteria.

Flood:

FEMA extends flood renewal period

The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) announced that it will extend the grace period to renew flood insurance policies to help policyholders affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. FEMA said it would push back the grace period from 30 days to 120 days.

Property:

Florida’s property insurer of last resort, announced it will suspend cancellations and non-renewals for the next 45 days.

Wildfire:

Firefighters say coronavirus will obstruct emergency service, evacuations as wildfire season closes in

First responders are preparing for raging wildfires that they expect will consume thousands of acres and drive some residents from their homes in upcoming months. But this year, CNBC reports, preparations have stalled. The coronavirus pandemic has hit the country’s already strained emergency services, raising concerns over inadequate disaster relief during peak fire season.

Workers Compensation:

Catch coronavirus on the job? In Florida, workers comp may not cover you

Florida’s Chief Financial Officer has ordered the Division of Risk Management to fulfill workers’ compensation claims for frontline employees who work for the state, the Tampa Bay Times reports. But the order doesn’t include similar workers in the private sector.

Auto Insurance Premiums Face Downward Pressure Due to COVID-19

Stay-at-home orders and other travel restrictions due to COVID-19 have limited the number of miles being driven and have consequently put pressure on auto insurers to rebate premiums or otherwise provide offsets, S&P Global Market Intelligence reports.

While U.S. private auto direct premiums written have not declined by more than 0.3 percent on a year-over-year basis in at least the past two decades, the pandemic risks maintaining this record. Certain state regulators and auto insurers are now taking steps to give financially burdened consumers additional time to make payments.

However, the article says, those steps may not be enough as public pressure increases. The Consumer Federation of America has proposed that auto insurers provide monthly offset payments to consumers to avoid what it alleged to represent the “windfall” profits  the industry would otherwise produce.

Related:

Coronavirus takes toll on U.S. auto sales