Category Archives: Severe Convective Storm

Catastrophes, Coastal Property, Disaster Preparedness, Disaster Resilience, Floods, Severe Convective Storm, Technology, Tornado, Wildfire, Wind

Climate Nonprofits Take Responsibility for Terminated U.S. Databases

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By Lewis Nibbelin, Research Writer, Triple-I 

Amid federal funding and staffing cuts to major science agencies last year, various nonprofit organizations stepped up to maintain their essential climate and weather research. Such risks may become increasingly difficult to predict and prevent, however, as key agencies, such as the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), remain targets for disinvestment or termination.

Private sector takes charge

In the spring of 2025, the federal administration attempted to rescind tens of billions of dollars in research and hazard mitigation grants, leaving many programs – like FEMA’s Building Resilient Infrastructure and Communities (BRIC) program – in legal limbo as legislators continue to debate their futures. Alongside funding delays and cancellations, mass firings led to the shuttering of several climate and weather information resources – until private associations and researchers mobilized to revive them.

Former NOAA staffers, for instance, regrouped to rescue the organization’s climate.gov website, which attracted nearly one million visitors per month – including teachers, policymakers, and media outlets – before being dismantled last June. Under a new domain, the site will both restore deleted information and resume tracking and explaining the effects of climate risk to public audiences, relying exclusively on nonprofit funding, according to project director Rebecca Lindsey in an interview with NPR.

Similarly, nonprofit Climate Central recently released its first billion-dollar weather and climate disaster report since assuming responsibility for that dataset, which former NOAA climatologist Adam Smith continues to oversee. Beyond rebuilding NOAA’s database, the organization aims to expand upon it in the coming years to track smaller catastrophes, providing insurers and other stakeholders more reliable information to understand individual disasters.

An initiative spearheaded by the American Geophysical Union (AGU) and the American Meteorological Society (AMS) is now aiming to help fill research gaps left by the elimination of the National Climate Assessment (NCA), a series of congressionally mandated reports published since 2000 to inform climate risk mitigation strategies for municipalities and businesses. Though not intended to replace NCA, the new data collection “provides a critical pathway for a wide range of researchers to come together and provide the science needed” to “ensure our communities, our neighbors, our children are all protected and prepared,” said AGU president Brandon Jones.

Grassroots efforts to archive federal climate databases and tools before they disappear have also gained traction around the globe to ensure these resources remain publicly available. The nonprofit Open Environmental Data Project, for example, saved a now-deleted tool to identify communities disproportionately impacted by climate and weather risks through its Public Environmental Data Project.

Crucial agencies under scrutiny

While the latest government spending package has largely spared science funding from further reductions, the Trump administration had proposed cuts amounting to a 21 percent drop from fiscal 2025 levels. Other agencies face potential dissolution, particularly NCAR – widely considered the largest federal climate research program in the U.S.

Managed by the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR) in collaboration with the National Science Foundation (NSF), NCAR houses advanced computing and modeling systems to support weather forecasts, mitigation planning, flood mapping, and other datasets needed across the transportation, engineering, utility, and risk and insurance industries.

Describing NCAR’s research as critical to “protecting lives and property, supporting the economy, and strengthening national security,” UCAR president Antonio Busalacchi said in a statement that “any plans to dismantle NSF NCAR would set back our nation’s ability to predict, prepare for, and respond to severe weather and other natural disasters.”

“NCAR datasets have been vital in improving our understanding of the atmosphere and ocean,” said Phil Klotzbach, lead author of Colorado State University’s seasonal hurricane forecasts and Triple-I Non-Resident Scholar. “These tools have been critical input to CSU’s seasonal hurricane forecasts for over 25 years.”

NCAR’s pending fate coincides with a recent study from the University of Florida that suggests the budget cuts in part reflect pervasive distrust in scientific institutions, necessitating stronger efforts to communicate the value of scientific work to the public. But as more independent groups take on the responsibilities once affiliated with federal organizations, building public relationships may prove even more challenging, posing uncertain implications for the future of climate and weather data as a whole.

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Catastrophes, Disaster Preparedness, Disaster Resilience, Homeowners Insurance, Hurricane, Severe Convective Storm, Tornado, Wind

Severe Winter Weather Ravages U.S. Communities

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By Lewis Nibbelin, Research Writer, Triple-I

Millions of Americans remain on alert for a severe weather outbreak across the country after devastating atmospheric rivers, tornadoes, and winter storms raged at the close of 2025, causing multiple deaths and significant property damage from coast to coast.

Southern California saw its wettest Christmas Eve and Day ever recorded, with more than 17 inches of rainfall in one area of Ventura County and 10 inches in parts of the San Gabriel Mountains in Los Angeles County. Downing trees and power lines, the heavy rains triggered flash flooding and mudflows that hit hundreds of homes, prompting road closures and power outages throughout the state.

Another unusual weather system spawned 13 tornadoes across the Great Lakes in late December, with six in Central Illinois alone, damaging numerous homes. Prior to last year, only five December tornadoes had been recorded in that forecast area, the last of which occurred in 2021. Frigid cold conditions followed the storm as a bomb cyclone – part of the same system that drenched California – swept from the Midwest to the East Coast.

Defined as a rapidly intensifying non-tropical storm in which pressure drops by at least 24 millibars over a 24-hour period, the bomb cyclone generated blizzard conditions resulting in power outages for more than 300,000 customers and a massive Interstate pile-up involving over 50 cars and multiple semi-trucks in Detroit, Mich. Several feet of snow buried Upstate New York, with the hardest-hit areas in the Lake Ontario snowbelt.

As conditions begin tapering off on the West Coast, the first cross-country storm of 2026 is expected to bring torrential rain and snow in the South and much of the Midwest later this week. Threats of flash flooding as well as hail, tornadoes, and damaging winds loom across both regions, with heavy rains possible in the Northeast.

As always, Triple-I urges residents to stay informed, be prepared, and follow the instructions of local authorities. Checking insurance coverage is critical to such preparation, especially as atmospheric rivers, severe convective storms, and inland flooding become increasingly common. Many noncoastal communities impacted by recent flood events lack sufficient flood protection, and Californians grappling with claims from the storms may also be unaware they need separate flood policies for flooding and mudflow.

Affordability, Homeowners Insurance, Industry Financials, Insurance Industry, Severe Convective Storm, Technology

Inflation, replacement costs, climate losses shape homeowners’ insurance options

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A person's hands are arched over a small model of a home that is placed on top of an insurance contract.

The homeowners insurance market is catching up to its cost drivers while still facing challenges to affordability and availability. Rates continue to climb as natural disasters intensify and replacement costs rise, but industry analysts expect meaningful improvement over the next two years. A new Triple-I Issues Brief provides a snapshot of the market’s performance and outlook, and discusses how some trends are shaping its future.

The latest results for the product line have helped narrow the anticipated 2025 gap between the performance of the personal and commercial lines. Despite a volatile start to 2025 driven largely by January’s destructive Los Angeles wildfires, homeowners insurance is still headed for double-digit net written premium growth this year.

With ​​nearly half of all homes in the United States at risk of “severe or extreme” damage from weather related events, climate risk looms large. In January 2025, the U.S. Department of the Treasury released “Analyses of U.S. Homeowners Insurance Markets, 2018-2022: Climate-Related Risks and Other Factors.“ a report based on the most comprehensive and granular snapshot of the homeowners insurance market to date. The agency found that climate risk is making it more costly for insurers to operate, as insurers’ costs in 2018-2022 were higher in areas with the highest expected losses from climate-related perils. The paid loss ratio, which reflects how much insurers paid for claims relative to the premiums they collected, was highest in the highest-risk ZIP Codes.

In 2025, the U.S. experienced its first hurricane season without a single landfall in a decade. However, the Triple-I issue brief explains, while 2025 economic losses from natural catastrophes are running below recent averages, other perils — such as severe convective storms, wildfires, and flash flooding — are becoming formidable sources of insurer loss. These increasingly frequent moderate disasters are challenging traditional catastrophe models built around infrequent peak perils, such as major hurricanes.

At the same time, soaring replacement costs have become the new normal for the homeowners market. Repair and rebuilding expenses have jumped nearly 30 percent over the past five years, fueled by inflation, supply-chain disruptions, rising construction material prices, labor shortages, and, more recently, new federal tariffs. Although the full impact of these tariffs has been milder than expected so far, the worst effects may simply be deferred until 2026 as inventories decline. Rising replacement costs translate directly into higher claim payouts, placing additional pressure on insurers and, ultimately, policyholders.

Beyond tariffs, other political and regulatory shifts are adding a new uncertainty as federal disinvestment in climate monitoring and mitigation may impede the insurance industry’s ability to accurately price risk, predict future losses, and, ultimately, provide affordable coverage. Meanwhile, several states grapple with balancing affordability with the stability and solvency of their insurance markets.

Insurance pricing must reflect these increased risks to maintain policyholder surplus, the funds regulators require insurers to keep on hand to pay claims. If premium rates fail to reflect increased costs, insurers may rapidly drain their policyholder surplus. This issue brief discusses how emerging technologies, such as advanced predictive analytics, aerial imagery, and smart-home sensors, could pave the way for more accurate pricing, faster claims processing, and improved risk prevention.

An Insurance Research Council (IRC) study indicates that homeowners familiar with some AI-driven insurance solutions view pricing using those technologies as fairer and express fewer concerns overall. These tools may play a critical role in bolstering affordability, rebuilding trust, and strengthening the resilience of the homeowners’ insurance sector amid escalating climate and economic pressures.

The issue brief’s list of factors and trends impacting the homeowners’ market isn’t intended to be exhaustive. Accordingly, future briefs on homeowners (or property lines in general) may highlight other pertinent topics, such as the link between insurance premiums and property prices. While home values in high-risk areas can often be diminished by rising premiums, higher home values can generally mean higher replacement costs, and consequently, lead to higher premiums. As of early 2025, home prices are up 60 percent nationwide since 2019 and still rising by 3.9 percent YoY, according to the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University. The Harvard report cites Freddie Mac data indicating home insurance premiums jumped 57 percent from 2019 to 2024.

We invite you to read our take on the homeowners’ market and follow our blog to keep abreast of key issues impacting the industry.

Catastrophes, Disaster Preparedness, Disaster Resilience, Severe Convective Storm, Tornado, Wind

Industry, Universities Team Up to Study Convective Storms

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By Lewis Nibbelin, Research Writer, Triple-I

In a year marked by severe convective storm-induced damage across the United States, timely and accurate data is more essential than ever to understand, predict, and prevent these evolving weather perils. Though federal cuts to weather monitoring and modeling have raised concerns about the industry’s capacity for risk mitigation, a new research center backed by insurers and the U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF) aims to help bridge the gap.

Directed by Dr. Victor Gensini, a professor at Northern Illinois University and a Triple-I non-resident scholar, the Center for Interdisciplinary Research on Convective Storms (CIRCS) will leverage the expertise of nearly two dozen scientists to develop research focused on advancing resilience against severe convective storms, which range from thunderstorms with lightning to tornadoes, straight-line winds, and hail.

Northern Illinois University and the University of Wisconsin-Madison launched CIRCS with $1.5 million in funding from NSF, as part of a joint initiative with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to create an Industry-University Cooperative Research Center (IUCRC) that can support the insurance sector.

Beyond funds under the IUCRC model, CIRCS also receives “funding for research, students, and lab equipment” from private industry members, most of whom are “insurance and reinsurance companies interested in research on convective storms,” said Gensini, who teaches in NIU’s Department of Earth, Atmosphere, and Environment. He added that CIRCS includes actuarial scientists within its panel of experts to “approach this specific peril from multiple directions.”

Rising in both frequency and severity, convective storms accounted for $42 billion in global insured losses during the first half of 2024 alone, driven by 12 U.S. storms with $1 billion or more in losses each, according to a Swiss Re report. Later Gallagher Re data supports the trend, with large U.S. thunderstorms contributing to $46 billion in insured losses through the third quarter of 2025, the fourth-costliest year on record.

Paradigm-setting research

In addition to the center’s launch, Gensini recently celebrated a major data haul gathered during the largest hail study ever conducted, known as ICECHIP – short for In-situ Collaborative Experiment for Collection of Hail in the Plains. Funded with an $11 million grant from NSF, the field study sent Gensini and more than 100 other scientists and students across the Great Plains to chase and analyze hailstorms, which facilitate as much as 80 percent of severe convective storm claims in any one year.

Collecting more than 10,000 stones for study, the researchers hope to reduce hail risk through improved forecasting, enabling residents to better protect themselves and their belongings before a hailstorm hits. As the first field campaign dedicated to studying hail since the 1970s, ICECHIP’s participants expect their data to inform research analysis for years to come, NIU reported.

“We recovered tennis-ball-sized hail or greater in about half of our instrument deployments,” Gensini said. “You hope and dream for these kinds of observations in order to push forward hail science.”

By partnering academia with industry and government agencies, CIRCS and ICECHIP showcase the kinds of collaborative, data-driven solutions needed to address climate risks in ways that respect the unique needs of all affected groups, fostering risk management strategies that can build resilience at a community level.

Learn More:

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Affordability, Disaster Preparedness, Disaster Resilience, Homeowners Insurance, Hurricane, Insurers and the Economy, Roof Condition, Severe Convective Storm, Tornado, Wind

Storm-Resistant Roof Efforts Gain Ground

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By Lewis Nibbelin, Research Writer, Triple-I

Severe convective storms cost insurers an estimated $46 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, Gallagher Re has reported, marking the third straight year of U.S. claims from these events through September exceeding $40 billion. Total losses from these storms – which include tornadoes, hail, straight-line winds, and drenching thunderstorms – reflect growing impacts from inland flooding and, in particular, the vulnerability of roofs to damage from these storms.

Approximately 70 to 90 percent of total insured residential catastrophic losses arise from roof-related damage, according to Insurance Institute for Business & Home Safety (IBHS) estimates. Though poorly maintained roofs contribute to this finding, outdated building codes exacerbate the risk, leading insurance industry leaders to advocate for widespread adoption of FORTIFIED roof standards.

Developed by IBHS, FORTIFIED standards can reduce severe weather damage in new or retrofitted homes through construction methods like sealing roof decks and anchoring roofs to wall framing using stronger nails. While such standards remain voluntary, Louisiana has modelled the proactive approach needed to facilitate adoption with the recent expansion of its Louisiana Fortify Homes Program, which began offering homeowners thousand-dollar grants to retrofit their houses along these guidelines in 2023, incentivizing roughly 40 percent of the now 10,000 FORTIFIED roofs in the state.

“FORTIFIED roofs are the long-term solution for affordable insurance in South Louisiana,” said state insurance commissioner Tim Temple, noting that his office aims to implement bigger and more standardized insurance discounts for FORTIFIED homeowners to reinforce the state’s already improved insurance rates.

An emerging trend

Though Louisiana became the “fastest-growing state” to adopt FORTIFIED standards, Alabama pioneered incentivizing them through its own Strengthen Alabama Homes program, financed by the insurance industry with more than $86 million in grants since 2016. Designed to enhance community resiliency while also lowering insurance rates, completed retrofits qualify residents for premium discounts ranging from 25 to 55 percent.

A May 2025 study from the Alabama Department of Insurance, in collaboration with the University of Alabama Center for Insurance Information and Research, showcases the program’s success, highlighting that FORTIFIED homes suffered less property damage and fewer insurance claims than homes built using other construction methods when Hurricane Sally made landfall in the state.

“The Center’s Hurricane Sally report doesn’t just quantify the effectiveness of the FORTIFIED program, it clearly demonstrates that homes can be built to survive storms, making them eminently more insurable,” said IBHS CEO Roy Wright. “This report should be a clarion call to communities across the country, urging them to implement Alabama’s multipronged approach to promoting disaster mitigation.”

Insurers answered the call in Oklahoma, North Carolina, and South Carolina, all of which boast similar programs backed by the insurance sector and accompanying premium reductions. Mississippi nearly joined their ranks before state funding for the grant program was suspended earlier this year, though insurance discounts remain available. States such as Florida, Georgia, and Minnesota also offer comprehensive insurance discounts for FORTIFIED properties, with the latter poised to fully replicate a grant program in response to mounting hailstorms.

Addressing cost concerns

While 75 percent of homeowners express willingness to invest in weather-resistant features, only 18 percent have reinforced or replaced their roofs with those materials, a recent Nationwide survey reveals. Grants help lower the cost of entry to FORTIFIED roofs for many homeowners, but it is worth noting the relative affordability of such upgrades, which can cost as little as $500 for a 2,000 sq. ft. home.

Describing the benefits of FORTIFIED standards as “measurable and increasingly essential,” Nationwide Property & Casualty president and COO Mark Berven emphasized the crucial role insurance agents play in raising consumer awareness of these risk reductions and their broad accessibility.

“Our industry needs to remind homeowners they have control in the face of severe weather events,” Berven wrote. “By investing in resilience, they can take an active role in protecting their homes, their valuables and their memories – giving them the peace of mind they’re looking for.”

Learn More:

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Study Touts Payoffs From Alabama Wind Resilience Program

Resilience Investment Payoffs Outpace Future Costs More Than 30 Times

Outdated Building Codes Exacerbate Climate Risk

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Louisiana Senator Seeks Resumption of Resilience Investment Program

Catastrophes, Disaster Preparedness, Disaster Resilience, Floods, Hurricane, Risk Management, Roof Condition, Severe Convective Storm, Tornado, Wildfire, Wind

Resilience Investment Payoffs Outpace Future Costs More Than 30 Times

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By Lewis Nibbelin, Contributing Writer, Triple-I

Every dollar invested in disaster resilience today can save communities up to $33 in avoided economic costs, according to new research from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Allstate, and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce Foundation.

Building on their 2024 finding that such investments save $13 in benefits, the report detailed the burgeoning toll of increasingly frequent and severe natural catastrophes across the United States, underscoring a need for stronger collective action to mitigate climate risk.

Invest Now, Save Later

After experiencing the fifth consecutive year of 18 or more billion-dollar disasters in 2024, the United States further drove the second costliest half-year ever for global insured losses from natural catastrophes in 2025 with January’s devastating wildfires in Southern California. Though reflecting a troubling “new normal,” the report demonstrates how resilience funding can help stabilize local economies and protect lives and jobs, regardless of the scale or type of disaster.

Modeling scenarios for five disaster types – hurricanes, tornadoes, wildfires, droughts, and floods – the study revealed that high resilience investments may cut GDP losses by billions, with reduced funding leading to significantly higher long-term costs across all scenarios.

For hurricane-prone areas, which can grapple with lasting disruptions to housing, education, and other basic infrastructure, the study noted that higher investment could prevent the loss of $13.2 billion and more than 70,000 jobs.

Emphasizing the “smart, cost-saving” efficacy of disaster mitigation, the report concluded that “preparedness is not just a safety measure – it’s a local economic development strategy.”

“Preparedness is as much about plans as it is people,” added Rich Loconte, senior vice president and deputy general counsel for government and industry relations at Allstate. “It’s supporting a local nonprofit to retain its employees and keeps its doors open after a disaster, working with civic leaders to develop recovery plans that minimize rebuilding costs, and educating community members on proactive investments that help better weather storms.”

Risk Reduction in Practice

Beyond identifying the broad impact of disaster preparedness, the report also provides actionable insights for local leaders who aim to boost community resilience but are unsure where or how to start. Recommendations for disaster preparation include:

  • Risk-Informed Design: Adopt and enforce hazard-resistant building codes, such as those that meet the Insurance Institute for Business & Home Safety’s FORTIFIED standards. Update zoning and land use planning according to the latest risk data.
  • Data-Based Decisions: Improve access to risk data to inform, track, and assess the success of disaster mitigation efforts.
  • Dedicated Resilience Funding:Create a local fund for disaster mitigation to ensure consistent investment and expedite post-disaster recovery.
  • Public Engagement: Launch risk awareness campaigns to facilitate individual and organized participation in preparedness and raise insurance take-up rates.
  • Stakeholder Partnerships: Coordinate cross-sector and multi-jurisdictional resilience strategies to maximize benefits.

A survey released in tandem with the report shows that most resilience stakeholders – encompassing emergency managers, community planners, government officials, and other risk experts –  believe public-private collaboration needs improvement, with more than half of respondents highlighting insufficient resource allocation and unclear decision-making processes as leading causes for poor coordination.

While most indicated state and local governments must play a major role in disaster preparedness, response, and recovery, 58 percent of respondents additionally underscored the federal government as crucial at every phase, particularly for financial assistance. As numerous community resilience projects hang in limbo following the Trump Administration’s cancellation of $882 million in federal grants, it is imperative for all beneficiaries of disaster resilience to help develop sensible solutions for predicting and preventing losses.

“As the cost and economic toll of disasters continue to increase, leaders at all levels of government should know that investments in infrastructure resilience will go a long way in protecting and preparing local communities,” said Marty Durbin, senior vice president of policy at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. “Resilience investments reduce costs and speed up recovery. The faster a community bounces back, the faster jobs and economic growth return.”

Learn More:

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Louisiana Senator Seeks Resumption of Resilience Investment Program

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Catastrophes, Coastal Property, Disaster Preparedness, Disaster Resilience, Flood Insurance, Floods, Homeowners Insurance, Hurricane, Lightning, Market Conditions, Severe Convective Storm, Technology, Wildfire, Wind

Nonprofit to Rescue NOAA Billion-Dollar Dataset

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A climate nonprofit plans to revive a key federal database tracking billion-dollar weather and climate disasters that the Trump Administration stopped updating in May, Bloomberg reported.

The database captures the financial toll of increasingly intense weather events and was used by insurers and others to understand, model, and predict weather perils across the United States. Dr. Adam B. Smith, the former NOAA climatologist who spearheaded the database for more than a decade, has been hired to manage it for the nonprofit, Climate Central.

NOAA in May announced it would stop tracking the cost of the country’s most expensive disasters, those which cause at least $1 billion in damage – a move that would leave insurers, researchers, and government policymakers with less reliable information to help understand the patterns of major disasters like hurricanes, drought or wildfires, and their economic consequences.

Climate Central plans to expand beyond the database’s original scope by tracking disasters as small as $100 million and calculating losses from individual wildfires, rather than simply reporting seasonal regional totals.

A record 28 billion-dollar disasters hit the United States in 2023, including a drought that caused $14.8 billion in damages. In 2024, 27 incidents of that scale occurred. Since 1980, an average of nine such events have struck in the United States annually.

This summer – amid deadly wildfires and floods – the Trump Administration has appeared to be rolling back some of its DOGE-driven NOAA funding cuts. NOAA recently announced that it would be hiring 450 meteorologists, hydrologists, and radar technicians for the National Weather Service (NWS), after having terminated over 550 such positions in the already-understaffed agency in the spring.

In addition, the administration’s announced termination of the Building Resilient Infrastructure and Communities (BRIC) program — run by the  Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) — has been held up by a court injunction while legislators debate its future.  Congress established BRIC through the Disaster Recovery Reform Act of 2018 to ensure a stable funding source to support mitigation projects annually. The program has allocated more than $5 billion for investment in mitigation projects to alleviate human suffering and avoid economic losses from floods, wildfires, and other disasters.

Regarding the rescue of the NOAA dataset, Colorado State University researcher and Triple-I non-resident scholar Dr. Phil Klotzbach said, “The billion-dollar disaster dataset is important for those of us working to better understand the impacts of tropical cyclones. It uses a consistent methodology to estimate damage caused by natural disasters from 1980 to the present and was a critical input to our papers investigating the relationship between landfalling wind, pressure and damage. I’m very happy to hear that this dataset will continue!”

Learn More:

Some Weather Service Jobs Being Restored; BRIC Still Being Litigated

2025 Cat Losses to Date Are 2nd-Costliest Since Records Have Been Kept

CSU Sticks to Hurricane Season Forecast, Warns About Near-Term Activity

Russia Quake Highlights Unpredictability of Natural Catastrophes

Texas: A Microcosm of U.S. Climate Perils

Louisiana Senator Seeks Resumption of Resilience Investment Program

BRIC Funding Loss Underscores Need for Collective Action on Climate Resilience

JIF 2025: Federal Cuts Imperil Resilience Efforts

Catastrophes, Coastal Property, Disaster Preparedness, Disaster Resilience, Earthquakes, Floods, Homeowners Insurance, Hurricane, Lightning, Regulation, Risk Management, Severe Convective Storm, Tornado, Wildfire, Wind

Some Weather Service Jobs Being Restored;
BRIC Still Being Litigated

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Amid a summer full of deadly fires and storm-related flooding, the Trump Administration appears to be rolling back some of the spending cuts imposed upon the National Weather Service (NWS) by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) – of which NWS is a part – announced at an internal all-hands meeting earlier this month that they will hire 450 meteorologists, hydrologists, and radar technicians. CNN reported the announcement, citing an unnamed NOAA official. In jointly timed press releases, Congressmen Mike Flood and Eric Sorensen (D-Ill.) and Mike Flood (R-Neb.) acknowledged the planned hirings.

While the decision is welcome news, both congressmen continued to urge their colleagues to pass their bipartisan Weather Workforce Improvement Act to ensure these positions will remain permanent and not be subject to any future reductions. 

“For months, Congressman Flood and I have been fighting to get NOAA and NWS employees the support they need in the face of cuts to staff and funding,” Sorenson said. “Hundreds of unfilled positions have caused NWS offices across the country to cancel weather balloon launches, forgo overnight staffing, and force remaining meteorologists to overwork themselves.”

“For decades the National Weather Service has helped keep our communities safe with accurate and timely forecasts,” said Flood, adding that the NOAA announcement “sends a message that they’re focused on strengthening the NWS for years to come.”  

NOAA and FEMA cuts raised fears

It’s not just the NOAA and NWS cuts that have raised concerns. On April 4, 2025, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) announced that it would be ending its Building Resilient Infrastructure and Communities (BRIC) program and cancel all BRIC applications from fiscal years 2020-2023. Congress established BRIC through the Disaster Recovery Reform Act of 2018 to ensure a stable funding source to support mitigation projects annually. The program has allocated more than $5 billion for investment in mitigation projects to alleviate human suffering and avoid economic losses from floods, wildfires, and other disasters.

At the time, Chad Berginnis, executive director of the Association of State Floodplain Managers (ASFPM), called the decision to terminate BRIC “beyond reckless.”

 “Although ASFPM has had some qualms about how FEMA’s BRIC program was implemented, it was still a cornerstone of our nation’s hazard mitigation strategy, and the agency has worked to make improvements each year,” Berginnis said. “Eliminating it entirely — mid-award cycle, no less — defies common sense.”

Resilience investment is key to long-term insurance availability and affordability.  Average insured catastrophe losses have been on the rise for decades, reflecting a combination of climate-related factors and demographic trends as more people have moved into harm’s way.

Efforts have been made to save BRIC, and a U.S. District Judge in Boston recently granted a preliminary injunction sought by 20 Democrat-led states while their lawsuit over the funding moves ahead. Judge Richard G. Stearns ruled the Trump Administration cannot reallocate $4 billion meant to help communities protect against natural disasters.

In his ruling, Stearns said he was not convinced Congress had given FEMA any discretion to redirect the funds. The states had also shown that the “balance of hardship and public interest” was in their favor.

“There is an inherent public interest in ensuring that the government follows the law, and the potential hardship accruing to the States from the funds being repurposed is great,” Stearns wrote. “The BRIC program is designed to protect against natural disasters and save lives.”

Learn More

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Texas: A Microcosm of U.S. Climate Perils

BRIC Funding Loss Underscores Need for Collective Action on Climate Resilience

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Catastrophes, Coastal Property, Disaster Resilience, Earthquakes, Floods, Homeowners Insurance, Hurricane, Lightning, Severe Convective Storm, Wildfire

2025 Cat Losses to Date
Are 2nd-Costliest Since Records Have Been Kept

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Global insured losses from natural catastrophes reached $80 billion in the first six months of 2025 alone, making it the second-costliest first half on record since data collection began decades ago, according to reports by reinsurance giants Munich Re and Swiss Re.

Both reports called out the devastating wildfires that swept through Los Angeles County in January as the single most destructive event to date, with both firms estimating that these fires caused $40 billion in insured losses.

What makes these disasters particularly alarming is their timing and location. Both reports emphasized that the Los Angeles fires occurred during California’s normally wet winter season, when such massive blazes are typically unheard of. This seasonal shift represents a troubling new pattern, in which dangerous fire conditions persist year-round, rather than just during traditional fire season.

The reports also agree that severe thunderstorms across the American Midwest and South continued to cause billions in additional damage throughout spring, reinforcing how weather-related disasters are becoming both more frequent and more costly as communities expand into high-risk areas.

Swiss Re and Munich Re both identify the same underlying drivers making these disasters so expensive: More people are building homes and businesses in dangerous areas like wildfire-prone zones and tornado alleys, while climate change is making extreme weather events more intense and unpredictable.

The reports agree that this combination of increased development in risky locations and worsening weather conditions means that what happened in the first half of 2025 is likely just a preview of even costlier disasters to come, unless communities take serious steps to build more resilient infrastructure and avoid construction in the most hazardous areas.

Cat losses and replacement costs

Swiss Re emphasized the growing wildfire threat, pointing out that, before 2015, wildfires on average contributed around 1 percent of the total insured losses from all natural catastrophes worldwide.

“In the last 10 years, this has risen to 7 percent, the costliest periods being a two-year stretch of 2017‒18, and to a lesser extent 2020,” the report said.

Swiss Re also points to severe impact of post-pandemic construction cost inflation, noting that “construction costs rose by 35.64 percent from January 2020 to June 2025, directly impacting property claims costs.”  These higher costs to repair and replace property significantly increase the financial impact of each disaster.

“The best way to avoid losses is to implement effective preventive measures, such as more robust construction for buildings and infrastructure to better withstand natural disasters,” said Thomas Blunck, a member of Munich Re’s Board of Management. “Such precautions can help to maintain reasonable insurance premiums, even in high-risk areas. And most importantly: to reduce future exposure, new building development should not be allowed in high-risk areas.”

Swiss Re cautions that climate change is creating more volatile and unpredictable loss patterns, making catastrophe losses “more difficult to predict.” Together, these trends suggest the U.S. insurance market must prepare for sustained pressure on pricing and availability, particularly in high-risk coastal and wildland-urban interface regions.

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Catastrophes, Disaster Preparedness, Disaster Resilience, Flood Insurance, Floods, Homeowners Insurance, Hurricane, Risk Management, Severe Convective Storm, Wildfire, Wind

Texas: A Microcosm
of U.S. Climate Perils

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Devastating flooding in central Texas over the July 4, 2025, weekend highlighted several aspects of the state’s risk profile that also are relevant to the rest of the country, according to the latest Triple-I Issues Brief. One is the rising incidence of severe inland flooding related to tropical storms.

Tropical Storm Barry made landfall in Mexico on June 29 and weakened quickly, but its remnant moisture drifted northward into Texas, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University and a Triple-I non-resident scholar.

“A slow-moving low-pressure area developed and helped bring up the moisture-rich air rom Barry and concentrated it over the Hill Country of central Texas,” Klotzbach said. “The soil was also extremely hard from prior drought conditions, which exacerbated the flash flooding that occurred.”

Such flooding far from landfall has become more frequent and severe in recent years.  In Texas – as in much of the United States, particularly far from the coasts – few homeowners have flood insurance. Many believe flood damage is covered by their homeowners’ or renters’ insurance. Others believe the coverage is not worth buying if their mortgage lender doesn’t require it.  In Kerr County, where much of the July 4 flooding took place, flood insurance take-up rates through the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) were 2.5 percent.

Convective storms, fires, and freezes

But tropical storms aren’t always the impetus for flooding. In July 2023, a series of intense thunderstorms resulted in heavy rainfall, deadly flash floods, and severe river flooding in eastern Kentucky and central Appalachia. The conditions that lead to such severe convective storms also are prevalent in Texas.

Severe convective storms are a growing source of losses for property/casualty insurers. According to Gallagher Re, severe convective storm events in 2023 and 2024 “have cost global insurers a remarkable US$143 billion, of which US$120 billion occurred in the U.S. alone.”

Given its aridity and winds, it should be no surprise that Texas is highly subject to wildfire – but the state also has been increasingly prone to severe winter storms and debilitating freezes. On Valentine’s Day 2021, snow fell across most of Texas, accumulating as temperatures stayed below freezing and precipitation continued through the night. A catastrophic failure of the state’s independent electric grid exacerbated these conditions as snow and ice shut down roads and many homes suffered pipe bursts and multiple days without power.

Texas’s 2021 experience illustrates how grid instability can act as a “risk multiplier” for natural disasters. The entire U.S. electric power grid is increasingly vulnerable as the infrastructure ages and proliferating AI data centers increase demand.  

Need for data and collaboration

The severe damage and loss of life from the July 4 flooding have naturally raised the question of whether the Trump Administration’s reductions in National Weather Service  staffing contributed to the high human cost of this event. While it is hard to say with certainty, these cuts have affected how NWS works – for example, in its use of weather balloons to monitor weather. As early as April, staffing data gathered by NWS indicated that field offices were “critically understaffed”.

In June, panelists at Triple-I’s Joint Industry Forum expressed concern about the impact of the federal cuts on weather monitoring and modeling, as well as programs to help communities adequately prepare for and recover from disasters. Triple-I has published extensively on the need for insurers to shift from exclusively focusing on repairing and replacing property to predicting events and preventing damage.

Collective action at all levels – individual, commercial, and government – is needed to mitigate risks, build resilience, and reduce fraud and legal system abuse. Triple-I and its members are committed to fostering such action and regularly provide data and analysis to inform the necessary conversations.

Learn More:

Triple-I Brief Highlights Rising Inland Flood Risk

Hurricane Helene Highlights Inland Flood Protection Gap

JIF 2025: Federal Cuts Imperil Resilience Efforts

Weather Balloons’ Role in Readiness, Resilience

ClimateTech Connect Confronts Climate Peril From Washington Stage

BRIC Funding Loss Underscores Need for Collective Action on Climate Resilience

JIF 2024: Collective, Data-Driven Approaches Needed to Address Climate-Related Perils

Texas Winter Storm Costs Raise Extreme-Weather Flags for States, Localities