Category Archives: Legal Environment

Auto Insurance, Catastrophes, Disaster Preparedness, Disaster Resilience, Emerging Risks, Flood Insurance, Homeowners Insurance, Hurricane, Industry Awards & Events, Insurers and the Economy, Legal Environment, Market Conditions, Regulation, Risk Management, Severe Convective Storm, Tornado, Wildfire, Wind

Insurance Affordability, Availability Demand Collaboration, Innovation

Leave a comment

By Lewis Nibbelin, Contributing Writer, Triple-I

Insurance industry executives and thought leaders gathered yesterday for Triple-I’s Joint Industry Forum (JIF) in Chicago to discuss the trends, economics, geopolitics, and policy influencing the market today, as well as ways to navigate these complexities while focusing on making their products affordable and available for consumers.

Triple-I CEO Sean Kevelighan in his opening remarks, noted that effective risk management depends on collaboration across stakeholder groups, as interconnected perils “present a community problem, not just an industry problem.”

JIF keynote speaker Louisiana Insurance Commissioner Tim Temple said facilitating community resilience planning is a top priority for the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC). The NAIC’s 2025 initiative  – “Securing Tomorrow: Advancing State-Based Regulation” – aims to improve disaster mitigation and recovery by consolidating “the collective expertise of experienced state regulators from across the country, who can share real-time insights and proven strategies,” Temple said.

Among the initiative’s goals is aggregating more data from insurers to better understand challenges to affordability and availability on state levels, which the NAIC can then translate into actionable policy proposals. Such data calls, Temple said, help regulators, legislators, and policyholders focus on improving the cost drivers of insurance rates.

Louisiana has consistently been among the least affordable states for homeowners and auto insurance, according to the Insurance Research Council (IRC), in part because of its reputation for being plaintiff-friendly in civil litigation. Significant tort legislation has been approved in the state, but resistance to reform remains a challenge.

Getting to the roots of high premiums

 After a recent data call in his home state, Temple told the JIF audience, “For the first time in Louisiana, we’re not talking about only premiums. We’re talking about why premiums are where they are.”

A critical lack of transparency surrounding cost drivers persists, however. Temple criticized the National Flood Insurance Program’s Risk Rating 2.0 reforms for not publicly disclosing more information “for individuals and communities to identify and address factors driving up their premiums,” such as “whether increased rates take into account levee systems, pump stations, and other things designed to help mitigate against floods.”

Conversely, government programs like Strengthen Alabama Homes – and the numerous programs it inspired, including in Louisiana – have demonstrated success in communicating the benefits of resilience investments for consumers and policymakers.

“We’re seeing major positive results after just a few short years,” Temple said, noting that, since early 2024, over 5,000 homeowners not chosen for Louisiana’s grant program still decided to invest in the same hazard mitigation, as they may still qualify for the corresponding state-mandated insurance discounts.

“As natural disasters become more frequent and severe, state regulators will continue to drive forward common-sense policies that protect consumers and ensure that insurance remains available and reliable for at-risk communities,” Temple concluded. Developing the database required for such policies is a necessary first step.

Keep an eye on the Triple-I Blog for further JIF coverage.

Learn More

Significant Tort Reform Advances in Louisiana

Louisiana Senator Seeks Resumption of Resilience Investment Program

Louisiana Reforms: Progress, But More Is Needed to Stem Legal System Abuse

Louisiana Is Least Affordable State for Personal Auto Coverage Across the South and U.S.

Who’s Financing Legal System Abuse? Louisianans Need to Know

Study Touts Payoffs From Alabama Wind Resilience Program

Outdated Building Codes Exacerbate Climate Risk

Resilience Investments Paid Off in Florida During Hurricane Milton

Insurance Industry, Legal Environment

New Consumer Guide Highlights The Economic Impact of Legal System Abuse and the Need for Reform

Leave a comment

By Tasha Williams and Loretta Worters

Practices that foster unnecessary or drawn-out litigation are among several hard-to-measure forces that can shift loss ratios for insurers and disrupt forecasts, making cost management more challenging. Ultimately, the resulting cost increase is passed on to consumers, which adversely impacts the affordability and availability of coverage. The Insurance Information Institute (Triple-I) and Munich Re US published a new resource to help consumers understand how legal system abuse is fueling higher claim costs, driving up premiums, and reducing the efficiency of our civil justice system.

A Consumer Guide: How Legal System Abuse Impacts You explains, using accessible language and engaging graphics, how elements of legal system abuse – including third-party litigation financing, persuasive jury anchoring, and the deluge of attorney advertising – can distort outcomes and siphon value away from injured parties, policyholders, and the economy.

“Legal system abuse has driven up litigation expenses and costs, impacting businesses and consumers across the United States,” said Joshua Hackett, Head of Casualty at Munich Re US. “If left unchecked, these rising costs will continue to increase insurance premiums and limit coverage options.”

The consumer guide outlines legal trends and quantifies the impact of legal system abuse beyond rising premiums.

• $6,664 in added annual costs for the average American family of four

• 4.8 million U.S. jobs lost due to excessive litigation

• $160 billion in tort-related costs borne by small businesses annually

Who Benefits from Large Settlements?

The narrative of legal system abuse can be muddled by news of large, high-profile settlements, which can imply plaintiffs are winning big. In reality, injured parties typically end up with only a fraction of their awarded damages after fees, obligations to third-party litigation funders, and inflated expenses are taken into account.

According to a recent report from Duane Morris Class Action Review, a defense attorney interest group, $42 billion in class action settlements was reached last year, the third-highest value the group has tallied over the past twenty years. That figure included ten settlements of at least $1 billion. Products Liability Class Actions reaped by far the largest amount for a practice area, at $23.40 billion. Annual numbers for overall settlements reported in 2023 and 2022 were $51.4 billion and $60 billion, respectively.

However, the bulk of these settlements do not ultimately benefit the injured parties. Attorneys can charge contingency fees ranging from 33 to 40 percent for their labor, plus expenses incurred through litigation, such as court costs and expert witness fees. Additionally, the process for injured parties to claim and receive their share of the settlement can be complex and drawn out, and, often, it is not worth the small share amounts dispersed to most claimants in the long run. A 2019 Federal Trade Commission study estimates the median claims rate for consumer class action settlements was 9 percent and that the weighted mean — weighted by the size of the class — was only 4 percent.

“While billboard attorneys use exploitative advertisements promising big dollar settlements, the truth is consumers and business owners can be left with less money, sometimes substantially less, if third-party litigation financiers are involved,” said Triple-I CEO Sean Kevelighan.

The consumer guide reinforces what many risk and claims professionals are observing in the market.

  • Longer case durations
  • Higher settlements and awards
  • Diminishing predictability in the legal environment

This erosion of predictability poses underwriting challenges and affects the affordability and availability of coverage, particularly in casualty and liability lines.

Legal system abuse can be mitigated by supporting public awareness and robust tort reform policy.

Triple-I and Munich Re US are encouraging the industry to advocate for:

  • Disclosure requirements for litigation financing
  • Reforms to reduce medical billing abuse
  • More oversight of attorney advertising practices

The guide serves as an educational tool that insurers, brokers, and industry partners can share with clients and stakeholders to explain the link between premium increases, other rising costs, and potential legal exposure.

This collaboration between Triple-I and Munich Re US is part of Triple-I’s multi-faceted awareness campaign to help educate industry insiders, consumers, and other stakeholders about the challenges posed by legal system abuse to coverage affordability and availability. We invite you to learn more about legal system abuse by reading our issue briefs, such as “Legal System Abuse: State of the Risk” and “Legal System Abuse and Attorney Advertising for Mass Litigation: State of the Risk,” and visiting our knowledge hub on this topic. To join the discussion, register for JIF 2025.

Auto Insurance, Industry Financials, Legal Environment, Market Conditions

Personal Auto 2024 Underwriting Results Best Since Pandemic

Leave a comment

By William Nibbelin, Senior Research Actuary, Triple-I

The U.S. personal auto insurance industry saw a significant turnaround in 2024, achieving its best underwriting result since the pandemic began, according to Triple-I’s latest Issues Brief.  

In fact, with a net combined ratio of 95.3, personal auto insurance has outperformed the broader property and casualty (P/C) insurance industry in terms of underwriting profitability for 10 out of the last 20 years. A combined ratio under 100 indicates an underwriting profit. One above 100 indicates a loss.

This positive shift comes after a period in which personal auto premiums experienced fluctuations. While the overall P/C industry outpaced personal auto in premium growth from 2018 to 2022, personal auto saw a strong rebound in 2023 and 2024, with double-digit premium growth rates of 14.4 percent and 12.8 percent, respectively. This surge in premiums follows a notable decline in 2020, the first since 2009, largely due to reduced driving during the initial phase of the COVID-19 pandemic. Since then, vehicle miles driven have returned to pre-pandemic levels.

A major factor influencing auto insurance premiums has been the significant rise in replacement costs for vehicles and parts after the pandemic. Insurers adjusted rates in response to these increased costs. The changes in consumer prices for new and used vehicles, as well as parts and repairs, have shown a strong correlation with average insurance rate adjustments over the past decade:

  • New Vehicles: 88 percent correlation;
  • Motor Vehicle Parts & Equipment: 74 percent correlation;
  • Used Vehicles: 79 percent correlation; and
  • Motor Vehicle Maintenance & Repair: 78 percent correlation.

Looking at losses, the direct incurred loss ratio for personal auto improved considerably by 21.7 points from late 2022 to the end of 2024. However, this improvement wasn’t uniform across all types of claims. Auto physical damage claims saw more improvement than auto liability claims, creating the largest disparity between the two in over a decade of 15.7 points.

Loss trends in personal auto are shaped by how often claims occur (frequency) and the average cost of each claim (severity). For personal auto liability, while the number of claims has stayed below pre-pandemic levels, the average cost per claim has continued to rise year after year with a cumulative increase from 2019 to 2024 of 54.2 points.

One of the significant challenges contributing to the increasing severity in personal auto liability is what’s known as legal system abuse. This includes a rise in lawsuits, larger jury awards, and more attorney involvement in claims. This phenomenon, intertwined with broader inflation, has driven up auto liability losses and related expenses by a range of $76.3 billion to $81.3 billion from 2014 to 2023 according to the latest Triple-I | Casualty Actuarial Society study.

Another important factor impacting the auto insurance market is the state regulatory environment. A recent report by the Insurance Research Council on Rate Regulation in Personal Auto Insurance indicated that the process for insurers to get rate changes approved has become more complex across the country between 2010 and 2023. This has led to longer approval times and a higher incidence of insurers receiving less than their requested rate increases. These trends can ultimately affect the availability of competitive auto insurance policies for consumers.

Learn More:

Even With Recent Rises, Auto Insurance Is More Affordable Than During Most of Century to Date

New IRC Report: Personal Auto Insurance State Regulation Systems

U.S. Consumers See Link Between Attorney Involvement in Claims and Higher Auto Insurance Costs: New IRC Report

Disaster Preparedness, Disaster Resilience, Homeowners Insurance, Legal Environment, Market Conditions

Disasters, Litigation Reshape Homeowners’ Insurance Affordability

Leave a comment

Rising natural disaster costs, increased home repair expenses, and legal system challenges have made homeowners’ insurance significantly less affordable across the United States over the past two decades,  according to new research from the Insurance Research Council. The trend shows no signs of slowing.

The financial burden of protecting one’s home has grown substantially. With homeowners insurance expenditures growing much faster than incomes over the past two decades, American households now dedicate an increasing share of their income to insurance premiums.

 In 2001, homeowners typically spent about 1.19 percent of their household income on insurance coverage. This figure climbed to 2.09 percent – a 75 percent increase – by 2022, the most recent available year’s data.

Projections of average premiums from the Insurance Information Institute suggest the trend will continue escalating, with estimates indicating households could spend 2.4 percent of their income on homeowners’ insurance by 2024 – the highest level recorded in more than two decades.

Wide variation by state

Utah emerged as the most affordable state in 2022, where residents spent only 1.00 percent of their income on homeowners’ insurance. Other states offering relative affordability included Oregon (1.09 percent), Alaska (1.23 percent), and Maryland (1.27 percent).

Louisiana ranked as the least affordable, with households dedicating 4.22 percent of their income to homeowners’ insurance. Disaster-prone states dominated the least-affordable rankings, with Florida (3.99 percent), Mississippi (3.87 percent), and Oklahoma (3.45 percent), following the Pelican State.

Multiple Cost Pressures

The affordability crisis stems from interconnected factors that have intensified pressure on insurance markets, according to IRC. Increased natural catastrophe risk represents a primary driver, with weather-related events becoming more frequent and severe.

Rising home construction and repair costs have compounded the challenge. Supply-chain disruptions have inflated material prices and extended project timelines, directly impacting claim settlements. When homes require repairs or replacement, insurers face significantly higher costs than in previous years, necessitating premium adjustments to maintain financial stability.

Population migration patterns have exacerbated risk concentrations, with more Americans moving to areas susceptible to natural disasters, the report noted. Coastal regions prone to hurricanes, wildfire-vulnerable areas, and tornado-prone territories have seen increased development, creating larger pools of exposed properties that insurers must protect.

Litigation has added another layer of complexity. Insurance companies report challenges with fraud, excessive claims, and legal system abuse following catastrophic events. The expense index – measuring what insurers spend to process, investigate, and litigate claims as a percentage of incurred losses – varies significantly across states, with litigation rates affecting overall costs.

Insurance Industry, Legal Environment, Risk Management

Triple-I Brief Highlights Legal System Abuse and Attorney Advertising

Leave a comment

The Insurance Information Institute (Triple-I) has released its latest issues brief, Legal System Abuse and Attorney Advertising for Mass Litigation: State of the Risk, which discusses how mass torts, specifically Multidistrict Litigation, and aggressive attorney advertising can in combination fuel the risk of legal system abuse.

Advertising is one of the most common methods companies use to sell their products and services and influence public perceptions. While the issue brief doesn’t argue that general advertising or filing for due process is problematic, it does offer a risk management-based lens for viewing how aggressive attorney advertising campaigns can fuel costs associated with settling claims.

Key Findings

  • Legal service providers spent $2.5 billion on 26.9 million ads across the United States.
  • Research suggests that legal advertising increases the number of plaintiffs in multidistrict litigation (MDL), which are large lawsuits consisting of multiple civil cases involving one or more common questions of fact but pending in different districts.
  • Product liability cases, which accounted for 38 percent of pending MDLs as of August 2023, emerged as the single largest category of MDLs, while other case types have decreased from 2012 to 2022.
  • The third-party litigation funding market, with an estimated size of $16 billion, is a likely resource for advertising budgets for mass torts; however, 12 states and two jurisdictions have enacted or are considering disclosure requirements.

Ads for legal services and lawsuits saturate all channels of communication – public billboards, radio and television broadcasts, and social media – dangling the lure of a financial windfall. Legal services marketing isn’t uniquely used for mass litigation cases. Nonetheless, it is overall geared to recruit as many lawsuit filers as possible. Therefore, aggressive advertising for legal services introduces the risk of fueling higher claim costs via problematic litigation.

These advertisements often employ an exaggerated sense of urgency, urging the target audience to take immediate legal action without considering alternative options for resolution. These ads may also often overpromise results by implying guaranteed windfalls (i.e., “We’ll get you your money’’), creating unrealistic expectations for plaintiffs and, thus, potentially impacting the time to settle. Additionally, when ads mention a particular product or brand, attorneys communicate plaintiff-biased information to potential jurors. In essence, a juror may recall seeing a flood of advertisements about the product and think, “Where there’s smoke, there must be fire.”

The brief focuses on MDLs because these are complex, huge, and slow-paced cases that may sometimes involve hundreds, even thousands of individual lawsuits. Therefore, these cases inherently carry the risk of driving up legal costs. Also, the large number of plaintiffs introduces the risk that questionable claims might slip into the lawsuit. For example, a particular product may have indeed caused harm to some, but not all, of the plaintiffs who used it.

Pummeling the world with ads can be expensive. Enter the third-party litigation funding (TPLF) market, which, despite tighter capital controls in recent years, grew to $16 billion in 2024, up from $15.2 billion in 2023. TPLF offers discretionary funding to the litigation industry, which can, in turn, use the money to fuel more lawsuits seeking large settlements — a boon for the firms and the funder. The brief outlines how several states and jurisdictions are moving to create transparency around TPLF involvement.

Practices that foster unnecessary or drawn-out litigation are among several hard-to-measure forces that can shift loss ratios for insurers and disrupt forecasts, making cost management more challenging. Ultimately, the cost is passed on to consumers, adversely impacting coverage affordability and availability. Triple-I is committed to advancing conversations with business leaders, government regulators, consumers, and other stakeholders to attack the risk crisis and chart a path forward.

Read the issue brief to find out more about how attorney advertising can contribute to legal system abuse. To join the discussion, register for JIF 2025. Follow our blog to learn more about trends in insurance affordability and availability across the property/casualty market.

Auto Insurance, Homeowners Insurance, Legal Environment, Regulation

Significant Tort Reform Advances in Louisiana

Leave a comment

Louisiana’s Senate passed five tort reform bills last week to curb legal system abuse driven by billboard attorneys in the Pelican State. The legislative success represents the culmination of sustained advocacy efforts – including a Triple-I-backed awareness campaign, StopLegalSystemAbuse.org – to build public support.

The new legislation addresses Louisiana’s longstanding challenges with high insurance premiums and the state’s reputation for being plaintiff-friendly in civil litigation. The reforms include stricter limits on damages, clearer standards for expert testimony, and other procedural changes designed to restore balance to the courts while reducing financial burdens on Louisiana families and businesses.

However, an additional measure intended to change state regulations for approving rate filings for auto and home insurance overshadowed the positive actions taken by lawmakers, the Times-Picayune reported.

House Bill 431, which would prevent drivers who are at least 51 percent at fault in an accident from receiving any compensation for their own injuries, requires final House approval due to Senate amendments. So do Senate Bill 231, which would allow insurers’ lawyers to present jurors with the actual amount paid for medical bills, rather than the total billed, and House Bill 436, which would ban undocumented immigrants injured in car accidents from receiving general (non-economic) damages.

House Bill 434, which would increase the threshold from $15,000 to $100,000 for uninsured drivers to collect medical expenses for bodily injuries in accidents, and House Bill 450, which would require plaintiffs in car accident lawsuits to prove their injuries were actually caused by the accident, are awaiting Gov. Jeff Landry’s signature.

Learn More:

Triple-I “Trends and Insights” Issues Brief: Louisiana Insurance Market (Members only)

Louisiana Senator Seeks Resumption of Resilience Investment Program

Louisiana Reforms: Progress, But More Is Needed to Stem Legal System Abuse

Louisiana Is Least Affordable State for Personal Auto Coverage Across the South and U.S.

Who’s Financing Legal System Abuse? Louisianans Need to Know

Auto Insurance, Homeowners Insurance, Insurers and the Economy, Legal Environment

Florida Senate Rejects
Legal-Reform Challenge

Leave a comment

By Lewis Nibbelin, Contributing Writer, Triple-I

The Florida House’s attempt to curtail recent legal system reforms met firm resistance from the state Senate this week, preserving the 2022 and 2023 legislation that stabilized the state’s property insurance market.

Aiming to reinstate one-way attorney fees in insurance litigation, the House added an amendment – originally part of a separate bill – to an unrelated Senate bill focused on creating legal protections for owners of former mining sites.

Filed by state Rep. Berny Jacques, the amendment would have restored Florida’s previous requirement for insurers to shoulder the insured’s legal costs, even if the insured’s jury award was only slightly higher than the settlement insurers offered. Current law stipulates that each side is responsible for their own fees.

Senate members refused to concur with the proposal and sent the bill back to the House, which can either remove Jacques’ amendment or let the entire bill die.

Insurers and policyholders benefit

Jacques’ amendment prompted instant criticism from industry leaders, notably Florida Insurance Commissioner Michael Yaworsky, who sent an email warning the governor’s legislative affairs director that it would dismantle “hard-won progress” achieved by the 2022-2023 reforms, according to a report by the South Florida Sun Sentinel.

That progress includes the introduction of 12 new insurers into Florida’s property sector after a multi-year exodus and a 23 percent decrease in lawsuit filings year over year, Yaworsky wrote.

Proponents of Jacques’ amendment argued it would return balance to the legal system, which had overcorrected to favor insurance companies at the expense of consumers.

Yet, in 2019, Florida accounted for just over 8 percent of U.S. homeowners insurance claims, but more than 76 percent of U.S. property claim lawsuits, pushing premium rates up to three times the national average. Post-reform, in 2024, 40 percent of all insurers in the state filed for rate decreases, with average home insurance premiums down 5.6 percent at the start of this year.

Reversing these reforms would reinvigorate fraudulent and unnecessary lawsuits, increasing insurer costs and, consequently, premium rates. Dulce Suarez-Resnick, an insurance agent based in Miami, told the Sun Sentinel that supporters predicted reforms wouldn’t be felt for three years.

“We are two years in, and I’ve already seen a lot of impact,” Suarez-Resnick said. “The Legislature needs to be patient. We have one more year to go.”

Reforms expected to remain intact

Though Florida’s 2025 legislative session was extended, the House has little time to push for further changes to the reforms. Even if the Senate somehow acquiesces and passes the amended bill, it is unlikely to survive – Gov. Ron DeSantis has vowed to veto any bill targeting tort reform and publicly condemned the House’s efforts to roll it back.

And Florida isn’t alone: Georgia successfully passed its own comprehensive tort reform package last month, after plaintiffs’ attorneys began transferring their marketing tactics to the neighboring state. State government moves like these are essential to eradicating legal system abuse and protecting all stakeholders from rising costs.

Learn More:

What Florida’s Misguided Investigation Means for Georgia Tort Reform

Florida Bills Would Reverse Progress on Costly Legal System Abuse

Florida Reforms Bear Fruit as Premium Rates Stabilize 

Georgia Targets Legal System Abuse

How Georgia Might Learn From Florida Reforms

Louisiana Reforms: Progress, But More Is Needed to Stem Legal System Abuse

Resilience Investments Paid Off in Florida During Hurricane Milton

Insurers and the Economy, Legal Environment

Reining in Third-Party Litigation Funding Gains Traction Nationwide

Leave a comment

A record number of bills targeting third-party litigation funding are under consideration across the United States, with Georgia and Kansas already passing disclosure measures, according to an analysis by Insurance Insider.

The U.S. Government Accountability Office defines third-party litigation funding as “an arrangement in which a funder who is not a party to the lawsuit agrees to help fund it.” Global multi-billion-dollar investing firms have made it their sole or primary business and are experiencing strong growth. Because the market lacks transparency, estimates on its size can vary but, according to Swiss Re, more than half of the $17 billion invested into litigation funding globally in 2020 was deployed in the United States. Swiss Re estimates the market will be as high as $30 billion by 2028.

Meanwhile, affordability of insurance coverage – especially for commercial auto products – has come under threat from increases in litigation and claim costs. The national surge in legislation seeking to rein in this practice reflects growing concerns about its lack of transparency and undue influence of litigation financing by dark-money investors – many of them outside the United States.

Thirty-five separate bills have been introduced in U.S. statehouses so far this year. The Kansas bill was signed into law by Gov. Laura Kelly, and the Georgia bill is expected to be signed by Gov. Brian Kemp. Similar legislation is advancing through various committees in Arizona, California, Massachusetts, New Jersey, and Oklahoma and have been proposed in more than two dozen other states.

The efforts are not only progressing at the state level. The U.S. House of Representatives is advancing HR 1109 – The Litigation Transparency Act of 2025 – which would regulate third-party litigation funding in federal court cases. A similar bill was introduced in 2024 but did not advance out of committee.

Third-party litigation funding is just one aspect of the larger issue of legal system abuse that contributes to challenges related to property/casualty insurance availability and affordability.

Learn More:

Indiana Joins March Toward Disclosure of Third-Party Litigation Funding Deals

Louisiana Litigation Funding Reform Vetoed; AOB Ban, Insurer Incentive Boost Make It Into Law

U.S. Study of Third-Party Litigation Funding Cites Market Growth and Scarce Transparency

IRC Study: Public Perceives Impact of Litigation on Auto Insurance Claims

Florida Bills Would Reverse Progress on Costly Legal System Abuse

Georgia Targets Legal System Abuse

Louisiana Reforms: Progress, But More Is Needed to Stem Legal System Abuse

Insurers and the Economy, Legal Environment, Market Conditions, Regulation, Risk Management

Claims Volume Up 36%
in 2024; Climate, Costs, Litigation Drive Trend

Leave a comment

By Lewis Nibbelin, Contributing Writer, Triple-I

U.S. property claims volume rose 36 percent in 2024, propelled by a 113 percent increase in catastrophe claims, according to a recent Verisk Analytics report.

While evolving climate risks fueled claim frequency, uncertain inflation trends and unchecked legal system abuse will likely further strain insurer costs and time to settle these claims, posing risks to coverage affordability and availability.

Abnormally active Atlantic hurricane season

In a “dramatic shift” from previous loss patterns, late-season hurricane activity – rather than winter storms – dictated fourth-quarter claims operations last year, Verisk reported. Hurricane-related claims comprised nearly 9 percent of total claims volume, at a staggering 1,100 percent increase from the third quarter of 2023. Flood and wind claims both also jumped by 200 percent in volume.

“This shift in risk patterns demands new approaches to risk assessment and resource planning, particularly in the Southeast, where costs increased at six times the national rate following hurricane activity,” Verisk stated. Notably, Hurricane Milton generated roughly 187,000 claims totaling $2.68 billion in replacement costs across the Southeast, with 8 percent of claims still outstanding as of the report’s release.

Another above-average hurricane season is projected for 2025 in the Atlantic basin, according to a forecast by Colorado State University’s (CSU) Department of Atmospheric Science. Led by CSU senior research scientist and Triple-I non-resident scholar Phil Klotzbach, the CSU research team forecasts 17 named storms, including nine hurricanes – four of them “major” – during  the 2025 season, which begins June 1 and continues through Nov. 30. A typical Atlantic season has 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, three of them major. Major hurricanes are defined as those with wind speeds reaching Category 3, 4, or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

Water, hail, and wind events in the Great Plains and Pacific Northwest also contributed to unexpected claim volumes, Verisk added. In contrast, wind-related claims fell in the Northeast compared to the fourth quarter of 2023.

Such regional variations highlight “the importance of granular, location-specific analysis for accurate risk assessment,” Verisk stated.

Contributing economic factors

Labor and material costs continued to rise year over year, with commercial reconstruction costs seeing a more pronounced increase of 5.5 percent compared to residential’s 4.5 percent, Verisk reported. The firm projected moderate reconstruction cost increases within both sectors during the first half of 2025.

Looming U.S. tariffs, however, may complicate this trajectory. Inflationary pressures related to the Trump Administration’s tariffs could further disrupt supply chains still recovering from natural catastrophes and the COVID-19 pandemic. Any such disruptions would compound replacement costs for U.S. auto and homeowners insurers as material costs – such as lumber, a major import from Canada – become even more expensive.

Excessive litigation trends

Similarly, excessive claims litigation – which prolongs claims disputes while driving up claim costs – plagues several of the states Verisk identified as experiencing increased claim volumes. For instance, though hurricane activity helps explain higher claim frequency in Georgia, the Peach State also is home to a personal auto claim litigation rate more than twice that of the median state, with a relative bodily injury claim frequency 60 percent higher than the U.S. average.

Verisk’s preliminary Q4 data reveals a 7 percent decrease in average claims severity compared to the same period in 2023 – a figure the firm expects to rise as more complex claims reach completion. But costly and protracted claims litigation, paired with ongoing tariff uncertainty, could magnify this figure even beyond their projections.

Undoubtedly, both will challenge insurers’ capacity to reliably predict loss trends and set fair and accurate premium rates for the foreseeable future, underscoring Verisk’s point that “staying ahead of these evolving patterns is essential in building more resilient operations in the future.”

Learn More:

Tenfold Frequency Rise for Coastal Flooding Projected by 2050

How Tariffs Affect P&C Insurance Prospects

What Florida’s Misguided Investigation Means for Georgia Tort Reform

Florida Bills Would Reverse Progress on Costly Legal System Abuse

Florida Reforms Bear Fruit as Premium Rates Stabilize 

Georgia Targets Legal System Abuse

Severe Convective Storm Risks Reshape U.S. Property Insurance Market

New Triple-I Issue Brief Puts the Spotlight on Georgia’s Insurance Affordability Crisis

P/C Replacement Costs Seen Outpacing CPI in 2025

California Insurance Market at a Critical Juncture

Florida’s Progress in Legal Reform: A Model for 2025

Louisiana Reforms: Progress, But More Is Needed to Stem Legal System Abuse

Data Fuels the Assault on Climate-Related Risk

California Finalizes Updated Modeling Rules, Clarifies Applicability Beyond Wildfire

U.S. Consumers See Link Between Attorney Involvement in Claims and Higher Auto Insurance Costs

Auto Insurance, Insurers and the Economy, Legal Environment, Market Conditions

Even With Recent Rises, Auto Insurance Is More Affordable Than During Most of Century to Date

Leave a comment

You read that right. As a percentage of median household income, personal auto insurance premiums nationally were more affordable in 2022 (the most recent data available) than they have been since the beginning of this century.

And even the premium increases of the past two years are only expected to bring affordability back into the 2000 range, according to the Insurance Research Council (IRC).

A new IRC report – Auto Insurance Affordability: Countrywide Trends and State Comparisons – looks at the average auto insurance expenditure as a percent of median income. The measure ranges from a low of 0.93 percent in North Dakota (the most affordable state for auto insurance) to a high of 2.67 percent in Louisiana (the least affordable).

The pain is real

This is not to downplay the pain being experienced by consumers – particularly those in areas where premium rates have been rising while household income has been flat to lower.  It’s just to provide perspective as to the diverse factors that come into play when discussing insurance affordability.

Between 2000 and 2022, median household income grew somewhat faster than auto insurance expenditures, causing the affordability index to decline from 1.64 percent in 2000 to 1.51 percent in 2022. In other words, auto insurance was somewhat more affordable in 2022 than in 2000.

“With the recent increases in insurance costs, affordability is projected to deteriorate in 2023 and 2024,” said Dale Porfilio, FCAS, MAAA, president of the IRC and chief insurance officer at Triple-I. “The affordability index is projected to increase to approximately 1.6 percent in 2023 and 1.7 percent in 2024, a significant increase from the low in 2021 but still below the peak of 1.9 percent in 2003.”

In other words, we’ve been here before; and, if risks and costs can be contained, so can premium growth in the long term.

Cost factors vary by state

Auto insurance affordability is largely determined by the key underlying cost drivers in each state. They include:

  • Accident frequency
  • Repair costs
  • Claim severity
  • Tendency to file injury claims
  • Injury claim severity
  • Expense index
  • Uninsured and underinsured motorists
  • Claim litigation.

These factors vary widely by state, and the IRC report looks at the profiles of each state to arrive at its affordability index.

Reducing risk and costs is key

Porfilio noted that “while state-level data cannot directly address affordability issues among traditionally underserved populations, collaborative efforts to reduce these key cost drivers can improve affordability for all consumers.”

Continued replacement-cost inflation is likely to maintain upward pressure on premium rates. Tariffs could exacerbate that trend, as well as hurting household income in areas dependent on industries likely to be affected by them.

At the same time, some states are working hard to ameliorate other factors hurting affordability.  Florida, for example, was the second least affordable state for auto insurance in 2022; however, the state has made recent progress to reduce legal system abuse, a major contributor to claims costs in the Sunshine State. In 2022 and 2023, Florida passed several key reforms that have led to significant decreases in lawsuits. As a result, insurers have been writing more business in the state after a multi-year exodus. This increased competition puts downward pressure on rates, which should be reflected in the IRC’s next affordability study.

Learn More:

IRC Report: Personal Auto Insurance State Regulation Systems

IRC Report: U.S. Consumers See Link Between Attorney Involvement in Claims and Higher Auto Insurance Costs

Florida Reforms Bear Fruit as Premium Rates Stabilize 

What Florida’s Misguided Investigation Means for Georgia Tort Reform

Florida Bills Would Reverse Progress on Costly Legal System Abuse

Inflation Continues to Drive Up Consumers’ Insurance Costs

Improved Commercial Auto Underwriting Profitability Expected After Years of Struggle

Louisiana Is Least Affordable State for Personal Auto Coverage Across the South and U.S.

Georgia Is Among the Least Affordable States for Auto Insurance

Report: No-Fault Reforms Improved Michigan’s Personal Auto Insurance Affordability

Auto Insurers’ Performance Improves, But Don’t Expect Rates to Flatten Soon