Category Archives: Catastrophes

Jamaica Payout Spotlights Potential of Parametric

By Lewis Nibbelin, Research Writer, Triple-I

Jamaica will receive a $150 million payout following devastation from Hurricane Melissa from its parametric catastrophe policy. Though one of the largest such payouts in recent years, the loss “had very little impact” on investors in the bonds backing the policy.

Investors in insurance-linked securities (ILS) “understand that these risks are part of what they cover,” said Jean-Louis Monnier, head of ILS Alternative Capital Partners at Swiss Re.

Among the strongest Atlantic hurricanes ever recorded, Hurricane Melissa became the most powerful cyclone to make landfall in the island’s history, causing an estimated $6 billion to $7 billion in damages and at least 75 deaths across the Caribbean. With a minimum central pressure of 892 millibars, the storm met the parametric thresholds for a full payout. The policy was backed by a bond issued in 2024 by the World Bank through its International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) and structured by Aon Securities and Swiss Re Capital Markets.

Unlike traditional indemnity insurance, parametric insurance covers risks without sending adjusters to evaluate post-catastrophe damage. Rather than paying for damages incurred, policies pay out if certain conditions are met – for example, if wind speeds or rainfall measurements meet an established threshold. Speed of payment and reduced administration costs can ease the burden on insurers while expediting recovery for policyholders.

Determining appropriate parametric triggers is no easy task. Just a year earlier, the same policy did not pay out after air pressure levels narrowly missed the predefined minimum during Hurricane Beryl, despite widespread destruction. The ensuing backlash generated greater public and industry scrutiny over parametric coverage, including an intergovernmental “examination” into the ILS market broadly.

Monnier explained that this specific bond was designed to respond to larger events like Melissa, as part of the country’s extensive risk management strategy that encompasses many layers of protection. Parametric coverage from Skyline Partners and Munich Re, for instance, offered a partial payout after Beryl, as did the Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility Segregated Portfolio Company, which issued its largest single payout in history at $70.8 million after Melissa.

In a press release on the payout, World Bank vice president and treasurer Jorge Familiar emphasized the “proactive approach” of Jamaica’s disaster risk management, noting it could “serve as a model for countries facing similar threats and seeking to strengthen their financial resilience to natural disasters.”

Estimated to reach $34.4 billion by 2033, the global parametric insurance market is growing at a rapid pace, driven by increasingly severe climate and weather-related risks. Yet many industry leaders identify parametric structures as less comprehensive – and therefore not a substitute for – traditional indemnity risk transfers. By design, parametric insurance correlates to measurable events rather than actual damages, leading to an innate basis risk when the two do not perfectly align.

Whereas indemnity coverage is “generally preferable,” parametric structures can “complement other forms of insurance” and are particularly beneficial for sovereigns, which tend to lack the granular data needed to inform underwriting and pricing of indemnity catastrophe bonds, according to Monnier.

“Many countries use both instruments, and they can be very complementary,” Monnier concluded. “There is a large global protection gap, and Swiss Re advocates for reducing that gap, whether through traditional reinsurance or by structuring capital-market solutions.”

Learn More:

Parametric Insurance Gains Traction Across U.S.

Hurricane Delta Triggered Coral Reef Parametric Insurance

Mangrove Insurance: Parametric + Indemnity May Aid Coastal Resilience

End of Federal Shutdown Revives NFIP — For Now

By Lewis Nibbelin, Research Writer, Triple-I 

With last week’s end of the longest U.S. government shutdown in history, Congress reauthorized FEMA’s National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP).  

During the shutdown, the NFIP continued to pay claims using available funds, but it could not sell or renew policies until reauthorized. These restrictions affected an estimated 1,300 property sales each day, as prospective property owners must purchase flood coverage in Special Flood Hazard Areas (SFHA), where private flood options – despite gaining traction – are still limited. 

With millions of homeowners and countless communities relying on the NFIP, many organizations across the risk and insurance industry sent a letter urging congressional leaders to reauthorize NFIP ahead of its expiration, writing that a lapse “could further impact affordable housing, create additional challenges for small businesses, unnecessarily further increase the cost of homeownership, and must be avoided.” 

While reauthorization allows NFIP insurers to retroactively issue policies for applications received during the shutdown, the measure extends their authority only through Jan. 30, 2026, leaving the program’s fate an open question. Absent a long-term NFIP authorization bill, Congress has now reauthorized the program 34 times since fiscal year 2017. 

Incentivizing risk reduction 

Flood risk was long considered untouchable by private insurers, which is a large part of the reason NFIP exists. While private participation in the flood market has grown in recent years, NFIP remains a critical source of protection for this growing and underinsured peril. 

Beyond providing economic protection for policyholders, the NFIP also plays a critical role in promoting climate resilience, particularly through its Community Rating System (CRS). A voluntary program, the CRS rewards homeowners with premium discounts when their communities invest in floodplain management practices that exceed the NFIP’s minimum standards, with the program’s highest rating qualifying residents for a 45 percent premium reduction. 

After the cancellation of other FEMA-managed initiatives like BRIC, the CRS can help provide relief where still needed. For instance, Jefferson Parish homeowners displaced following Hurricane Ida in 2021 had secured BRIC grants to elevate and reconstruct their homes shortly before the program ended, leaving these projects in limbo. But the CRS now offers residents and businesses more than $12 million in flood insurance savings annually after the parish secured a Class 3 rating – the first of its kind in Louisiana. 

By incentivizing improved building codes, citizen awareness campaigns, and other resilience solutions, the CRS can ensure that vulnerable communities “will continue to benefit from a comprehensive floodplain management and mitigation plan that helps make us more resilient in the face of disasters,” said Jefferson Parish President Cynthia Lee Sheng in a statement. Notably, however, the parish earned its rating mere weeks ahead of the NFIP lapse, which delayed the discounts from appearing in new and renewed policies. 

As climate and weather-related events become increasingly frequent and severe, the success of these investments will depend on proactive strategies informed by timely, granular data. Though NOAA announced it would cease tracking the country’s costliest disasters earlier this year, nonprofit Climate Central aims to fill the gap by rebuilding NOAA’s database and expanding it to track smaller catastrophes, providing insurers and other stakeholders more reliable information to understand individual disasters. 

Taken together, such efforts can help insurers accurately reflect rising risks in insurance pricing while engaging with communities and businesses in solutions to keep coverage accessible. Sustaining this balance involves continuous collaboration between public and private sectors. 

Learn More: 

JIF 2025: Federal Cuts Imperil Resilience Efforts 

Some Weather Service Jobs Being Restored; BRIC Still Being Litigated 

Louisiana Senator Seeks Resumption of Resilience Investment Program 

Nonprofit to Rescue NOAA Billion-Dollar Dataset 

BRIC Funding Loss Underscores Need for Collective Action on Climate Resilience 

Hurricane Helene Highlights Inland Flood Protection Gap 

Executive Exchange: Using Advanced Tools to Drill Into Flood Risk 

Accurately Writing Flood Coverage Hinges on Diverse Data Sources 

Lee County, Fla., Towns Could Lose NFIP Flood Insurance Discounts 

Coastal New Jersey Town Regains Class 3 NFIP Rating 

Storms Slam California, Raising Mudslide Risk

By Lewis Nibbelin, Research Writer, Triple-I

An atmospheric river system dumped up to six inches of heavy rains and claimed multiple lives in California last weekend, with thunderstorms on the horizon posing outsized risks for communities still recovering from January’s devastating wildfires.

Triggering mudflows and flash flooding across streets and highways, the multiday storm highlights the added complexity of insuring and preventing disasters in the state’s many wildfire-prone areas.

Coverage confusion

Californians grappling with this destruction may be unaware that homeowners and commercial policies typically exclude flood, mudslide, debris flow, and similar catastrophes, or of the distinctions between these events. Though media outlets may use these terms interchangeably, insurers differentiate between mudflows and mudslides for coverage eligibility.

Essentially rivers of mud, mudflows are covered by flood insurance, which is available from FEMA’s National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) and a growing number of private insurers. Mudslides – or masses of rock and earth pulled downhill by gravity – typically do not involve much liquid and remain ineligible for flood coverage.

But if recent perils covered by standard insurance policies either directly or indirectly cause any of these events, insurers must cover ensuing damages, as explained in a notice from California Insurance Commissioner Ricardo Lara shortly before the storms. Such protections can help residents bracing for possible mudslides later this week – particularly those living in Southern California neighborhoods scorched by wildfires earlier this year.

Noting that “it is critical to prepare for flooding, mud, and debris flow when heavy wind and rain, also called atmospheric rivers, are forecast,” Janet Ruiz – Triple-I’s California-based director of strategic communication – advises policyholders to “check your insurance coverage, as you will need a separate flood policy for flooding and mudflow. Use sandbags – most communities provide them free of charge. Be safe, and don’t drive into flooded areas.”

These recommendations are especially vital for fire-scarred areas, where heat-damaged soil repels water and even minor showers can escalate into dangerous flash flooding and debris flows. An absence of vegetation to absorb rain exacerbates both, leaving nearby homes, businesses, and other infrastructure more vulnerable.

From one system to another

Beyond facilitating substantial flooding, the wet weather also weakened elevated fire conditions that emerged during the fall – a reoccurring interplay in California’s climate that complicates developing effective mitigation and resilience strategies. Within the Golden State alone, factors like temperature, humidity, wind, and topography vary too widely to apply a singular mitigation approach, underscoring the importance of property-specific data analysis.

Using case studies from three distinct California areas, research from Triple-I and Guidewire shows how granular data can help identify properties with attractive risk profiles despite these evolving risks. Noting “every property being assessed for wildfire risk is unique,” their report found that home hardening reduces wildfire damage by as much as 70 percent but emphasized proactive collaboration between insurers, regulators, and policyholders as key to long-term success.

With more people moving into the wildland urban interface and communities increasingly hit with inland flooding, such partnerships are crucial to bridge protection gaps while keeping insurance affordable and available.

Learn More:

Mudslides Often Follow Wildfire; Prepare, Know Insurance Implications

Despite Progress, California Insurance Market Faces Headwinds

California Insurance Market at a Critical Juncture

California Finalizes Updated Modeling Rules, Clarifies Applicability Beyond Wildfire

Resilience Investment Payoffs Outpace Future Costs More Than 30 Times

By Lewis Nibbelin, Contributing Writer, Triple-I

Every dollar invested in disaster resilience today can save communities up to $33 in avoided economic costs, according to new research from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Allstate, and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce Foundation.

Building on their 2024 finding that such investments save $13 in benefits, the report detailed the burgeoning toll of increasingly frequent and severe natural catastrophes across the United States, underscoring a need for stronger collective action to mitigate climate risk.

Invest Now, Save Later

After experiencing the fifth consecutive year of 18 or more billion-dollar disasters in 2024, the United States further drove the second costliest half-year ever for global insured losses from natural catastrophes in 2025 with January’s devastating wildfires in Southern California. Though reflecting a troubling “new normal,” the report demonstrates how resilience funding can help stabilize local economies and protect lives and jobs, regardless of the scale or type of disaster.

Modeling scenarios for five disaster types – hurricanes, tornadoes, wildfires, droughts, and floods – the study revealed that high resilience investments may cut GDP losses by billions, with reduced funding leading to significantly higher long-term costs across all scenarios.

For hurricane-prone areas, which can grapple with lasting disruptions to housing, education, and other basic infrastructure, the study noted that higher investment could prevent the loss of $13.2 billion and more than 70,000 jobs.

Emphasizing the “smart, cost-saving” efficacy of disaster mitigation, the report concluded that “preparedness is not just a safety measure – it’s a local economic development strategy.”

“Preparedness is as much about plans as it is people,” added Rich Loconte, senior vice president and deputy general counsel for government and industry relations at Allstate. “It’s supporting a local nonprofit to retain its employees and keeps its doors open after a disaster, working with civic leaders to develop recovery plans that minimize rebuilding costs, and educating community members on proactive investments that help better weather storms.”

Risk Reduction in Practice

Beyond identifying the broad impact of disaster preparedness, the report also provides actionable insights for local leaders who aim to boost community resilience but are unsure where or how to start. Recommendations for disaster preparation include:

  • Risk-Informed Design: Adopt and enforce hazard-resistant building codes, such as those that meet the Insurance Institute for Business & Home Safety’s FORTIFIED standards. Update zoning and land use planning according to the latest risk data.
  • Data-Based Decisions: Improve access to risk data to inform, track, and assess the success of disaster mitigation efforts.
  • Dedicated Resilience Funding:Create a local fund for disaster mitigation to ensure consistent investment and expedite post-disaster recovery.
  • Public Engagement: Launch risk awareness campaigns to facilitate individual and organized participation in preparedness and raise insurance take-up rates.
  • Stakeholder Partnerships: Coordinate cross-sector and multi-jurisdictional resilience strategies to maximize benefits.

A survey released in tandem with the report shows that most resilience stakeholders – encompassing emergency managers, community planners, government officials, and other risk experts –  believe public-private collaboration needs improvement, with more than half of respondents highlighting insufficient resource allocation and unclear decision-making processes as leading causes for poor coordination.

While most indicated state and local governments must play a major role in disaster preparedness, response, and recovery, 58 percent of respondents additionally underscored the federal government as crucial at every phase, particularly for financial assistance. As numerous community resilience projects hang in limbo following the Trump Administration’s cancellation of $882 million in federal grants, it is imperative for all beneficiaries of disaster resilience to help develop sensible solutions for predicting and preventing losses.

“As the cost and economic toll of disasters continue to increase, leaders at all levels of government should know that investments in infrastructure resilience will go a long way in protecting and preparing local communities,” said Marty Durbin, senior vice president of policy at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. “Resilience investments reduce costs and speed up recovery. The faster a community bounces back, the faster jobs and economic growth return.”

Learn More:

Study Supports Defensible Space, Home Hardening as Wildfire Resilience Tools

Can a Fire-Prevention Device Be a “Gateway Drug” to Home Resilience?

JIF 2025: Federal Cuts Imperil Resilience Efforts

Why Roof Resilience Matters More Than Ever

Study Touts Payoffs From Alabama Wind Resilience Program

Louisiana Senator Seeks Resumption of Resilience Investment Program

Weather Balloons’ Role in Readiness, Resilience

BRIC Funding Loss Underscores Need for Collective Action on Climate Resilience

ClimateTech Connect NYC: You Just Had to Be There

I wrapped up my first-ever Climate Week NYC last week at ClimateTech Connect. After their two-day April event in Washington, D.C., I could hardly miss this special half-day update when it was so close to home.

Fifty-plus attendees crammed a room near Grand Central Station, and I immediately spotted familiar faces and had the opportunity to meet with a mix of industry veterans and relative newbies spanning all insurance disciplines, from underwriting and claims to the cutting edge of modeling and artificial intelligence. Top insurance thought leaders and influencers were there to speak on climate-related issues of pressing interest to my industry and everyone it serves. The panel themes and the panelist themselves made it clear from the start that a blog post was not going to do the event justice.

The first panel – Pioneers Shaping the Future of Climate Resilience – was moderated by Francis Bouchard, managing director for climate at Marsh McLennan, whose bona fides include senior positions with Zurich Insurance and the Reinsurance Association of America. Francis moderated a no-holds-barred panel of young insurance leaders: Angela Grant at Palomar, Michael Gulla of Adaptive Insurance, and Valkyrie Holmes of Faura. The energy and expertise of these panelists left me feeling that the industry – in the face of myriad challenges – is being put into good hands.

The next discussion was moderated by Jerry Theodorou, a director at the R Street Institute whose professional background includes roles at Conning, AIG, and Chubb. It featured Dan Kaniewski, managing director and U.S. public sector lead for Marsh McLennan and a former FEMA deputy administrator, and Raghuveer Vinukollu, head of climate insights and advisory for Munich Re. The depth and timeliness of these three experts’ insights made for an engaging and thought-provoking session.

The third panel was both engaging and accessible – a bit surprising to me, given that it consisted entirely of PhDs. Steve Weinstein, CEO of Mangrove Property Insurance led a discussion among Joanna Syroka of Fermat Capital Management, Catherine Ansell of JPMorgan Chase, and M. Cameron Rencurrel at Mercury Insurance on not only “Why Science Needs to Be in the Boardroom,” but HOW young scientists can find their way there and decide IF that’s where they want to be.

Between these panels were presentations from representatives of several insurtechs who shared their data-driven solutions focused on understanding and addressing climate-related panels. All this in a period of about three hours (not including the networking reception afterward). Despite all the information shared, the event did not feel at all rushed.

If you weren’t able to make it and are feeling a bit left out, don’t fret! ClimateTech Connect 2026 will be held in Washington, D.C., on April 8 and 9, 2026.

Study Supports Defensible Space, Home Hardening as Wildfire Resilience Tools

A recent paper published in Nature that  analyzes five major California wildfires confirms what insurers, fire scientists, and risk modelers have long asserted: Defensible space and home hardening help mitigate wildfire risk and improve resilience.

The study found that clearing vegetation and flammable materials within 1.5 meters of a structure — an area known as “Zone 0” — is one of the most effective actions a homeowner can take. When this is paired with home-hardening features like non-combustible siding, enclosed eaves, and vent screens, the results are staggering: predicted losses dropped by as much as 48 percent, according to the study.

Homes built after 1997, when California adopted stricter building codes, consistently outperformed older structures. These newer homes incorporated fire-resistant materials and design features that significantly improved survival rates.

From an insurance perspective, such steps – by leading to reduced losses and fewer, less-costly claims – can alleviate some of the upward pressure on premium rates in areas at higher risk for wildfire. In the long term, they can improve insurance affordability and availability in fire-vulnerable geographies.

Wildfire risk is strongly conditioned by geographic considerations that vary widely across and within states. A recent paper by Triple-I and Guidewire – a provider of software solutions to the insurance industry – used case studies from three California areas with very different geographic and demographic characteristics to go deeper into how such tools can be used to identify properties with attractive risk properties, despite their location in wildfire-prone areas. The use of such data-driven analysis can help insurers identify less risky properties within higher-risk geographies. 

The study in Nature examined five major fires from recent history in the wildland-urban interface (WUI) – Tubbs (2017), Thomas (2017), Camp (2018), Kincade (2019), and Glass (2020) – using machine learning to analyze on-the-ground post-fire data collection, remotely sensed data, and fire reconstruction modeling to assess patterns of loss and mitigation effectiveness.

Using a tool called an XGBoost classifier, the study found that “structure survivability can be predicted to 82 percent.” The study reported that “spacing between structures is a critical factor influencing fire risk…while fire exposure, the ignition resistance (hardening) of structures, and clearing around structures (defensible space) work in combination” to mitigate that risk.

“With the science-based information from this report, we can reduce risk and make our communities safer from wildfire,” said Janet Ruiz, Triple-I’s California-based director of strategic communication.  Accuracy of 82 percent on predictability of structures burning is a major improvement, and mitigation is the key.”

Coordinated community-wide strategies like vegetation management, building code enforcement, and distance between structures are essential. Triple-I and its members and partners are working to inform, educate, and drive behavioral change to reduce risk and build resilience.

Learn More:

Triple-I Brief Highlights Wildfire Risk Complexity

P&C Insurance Achieves Best Results Since 2013; Wildfire Losses, Tariffs Threaten 2025 Prospects

Data Granularity Key to Finding Less Risky Parcels in Wildfire Areas

California Finalizes Updated Modeling Rules, Clarifies Applicability Beyond Wildfire

As Global Risks Evolve,
So Must Insurance

By Lewis Nibbelin, Contributing Writer, Triple-I

Economic shifts, geopolitical uncertainties, cybersecurity trends, and mounting climate perils have created an increasingly severe and interconnected risk crisis, according to participants in a members-only Triple-I webinar.

In an environment constrained, for instance, by frequent natural disasters and rising replacement costs, risks no longer develop in isolation. They collide with and compound each other. Their combined impact exceeds the sum of individual risks’ effects. Such interdependence complicates identifying, let alone mitigating, the forces underpinning a specific risk.

“Under this new system that’s emerging, risk can propagate very rapidly through a host of otherwise disconnected networks,” TradeSecure president and cofounder Scott Jones told webinar host Michel Léonard, Triple-I’s Chief Economist and Data Scientist.  “This new reality fundamentally challenges the core principles that insurance has relied on for centuries.”

Jones emphasized the growing unpredictability of risk on a global scale, particularly as nations impose export controls, sanctions, investment restrictions, and tariffs for purposes like economic competition. Companies with global footprints may struggle to ascertain these interwoven, sometimes competing regulations, creating compliance concerns and potentially exacerbating supply-chain disruptions.

With the frequency and severity of U.S. cyber claims on the rise, cyberattacks also carry substantial transnational implications. Sophisticated ransomware encounters can exploit businesses of all sizes, propelling privacy liability claims and related third-party litigation.

TradeSecure vice president and cofounder Michael Beck explained how the almost universal accessibility of malware – harnessed by criminal syndicates, activist groups, or even lone hackers – presents “a new class of systemic non-physical disruption” that could undermine “the entire system’s liquidity and stability.”

“A coordinated non-state cyberattack wouldn’t just steal money – it could stop the flow of money, causing many transaction failures and possibly triggering a wave of claims far beyond what traditional cyber policies are designed to handle,” Beck said.

Though insurers as well as business owners and consumers consider cyber incidents a chief risk concern, personal cyber take-up rates remain low, with the broader cyber insurance market facing its third consecutive year of declining rates. Misunderstandings surrounding cyber risk and benefits of coverage fuel this discrepancy, revealing a gap between agent perceptions of product value and that of their customers.

Learn More:

2025 Cat Losses to Date Are 2nd-Costliest Since Records Have Been Kept

JIF 2025: U.S. Policy Changes and Uncertainty Imperil Insurance Affordability

Tariff Uncertainty May Strain Insurance Markets, Challenge Affordability

How Tariffs Affect P&C Insurance Prospects

Calls for Insurance-Price Legislation Would Hurt Policyholders, Not Help

Nonprofit to Rescue NOAA Billion-Dollar Dataset

Russia Quake Highlights Unpredictability of Natural Catastrophes

US Cyber Claims Surge While Global Rates Decline: Chubb

Personal Cyber Risk Is Up; Why Isn’t Adoption of Personal Cyber Coverage?

Nonprofit to Rescue NOAA Billion-Dollar Dataset

A climate nonprofit plans to revive a key federal database tracking billion-dollar weather and climate disasters that the Trump Administration stopped updating in May, Bloomberg reported.

The database captures the financial toll of increasingly intense weather events and was used by insurers and others to understand, model, and predict weather perils across the United States. Dr. Adam B. Smith, the former NOAA climatologist who spearheaded the database for more than a decade, has been hired to manage it for the nonprofit, Climate Central.

NOAA in May announced it would stop tracking the cost of the country’s most expensive disasters, those which cause at least $1 billion in damage – a move that would leave insurers, researchers, and government policymakers with less reliable information to help understand the patterns of major disasters like hurricanes, drought or wildfires, and their economic consequences.

Climate Central plans to expand beyond the database’s original scope by tracking disasters as small as $100 million and calculating losses from individual wildfires, rather than simply reporting seasonal regional totals.

A record 28 billion-dollar disasters hit the United States in 2023, including a drought that caused $14.8 billion in damages. In 2024, 27 incidents of that scale occurred. Since 1980, an average of nine such events have struck in the United States annually.

This summer – amid deadly wildfires and floods – the Trump Administration has appeared to be rolling back some of its DOGE-driven NOAA funding cuts. NOAA recently announced that it would be hiring 450 meteorologists, hydrologists, and radar technicians for the National Weather Service (NWS), after having terminated over 550 such positions in the already-understaffed agency in the spring.

In addition, the administration’s announced termination of the Building Resilient Infrastructure and Communities (BRIC) program — run by the  Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) — has been held up by a court injunction while legislators debate its future.  Congress established BRIC through the Disaster Recovery Reform Act of 2018 to ensure a stable funding source to support mitigation projects annually. The program has allocated more than $5 billion for investment in mitigation projects to alleviate human suffering and avoid economic losses from floods, wildfires, and other disasters.

Regarding the rescue of the NOAA dataset, Colorado State University researcher and Triple-I non-resident scholar Dr. Phil Klotzbach said, “The billion-dollar disaster dataset is important for those of us working to better understand the impacts of tropical cyclones. It uses a consistent methodology to estimate damage caused by natural disasters from 1980 to the present and was a critical input to our papers investigating the relationship between landfalling wind, pressure and damage. I’m very happy to hear that this dataset will continue!”

Learn More:

Some Weather Service Jobs Being Restored; BRIC Still Being Litigated

2025 Cat Losses to Date Are 2nd-Costliest Since Records Have Been Kept

CSU Sticks to Hurricane Season Forecast, Warns About Near-Term Activity

Russia Quake Highlights Unpredictability of Natural Catastrophes

Texas: A Microcosm of U.S. Climate Perils

Louisiana Senator Seeks Resumption of Resilience Investment Program

BRIC Funding Loss Underscores Need for Collective Action on Climate Resilience

JIF 2025: Federal Cuts Imperil Resilience Efforts

Some Weather Service Jobs Being Restored;
BRIC Still Being Litigated

Amid a summer full of deadly fires and storm-related flooding, the Trump Administration appears to be rolling back some of the spending cuts imposed upon the National Weather Service (NWS) by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) – of which NWS is a part – announced at an internal all-hands meeting earlier this month that they will hire 450 meteorologists, hydrologists, and radar technicians. CNN reported the announcement, citing an unnamed NOAA official. In jointly timed press releases, Congressmen Mike Flood and Eric Sorensen (D-Ill.) and Mike Flood (R-Neb.) acknowledged the planned hirings.

While the decision is welcome news, both congressmen continued to urge their colleagues to pass their bipartisan Weather Workforce Improvement Act to ensure these positions will remain permanent and not be subject to any future reductions. 

“For months, Congressman Flood and I have been fighting to get NOAA and NWS employees the support they need in the face of cuts to staff and funding,” Sorenson said. “Hundreds of unfilled positions have caused NWS offices across the country to cancel weather balloon launches, forgo overnight staffing, and force remaining meteorologists to overwork themselves.”

“For decades the National Weather Service has helped keep our communities safe with accurate and timely forecasts,” said Flood, adding that the NOAA announcement “sends a message that they’re focused on strengthening the NWS for years to come.”  

NOAA and FEMA cuts raised fears

It’s not just the NOAA and NWS cuts that have raised concerns. On April 4, 2025, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) announced that it would be ending its Building Resilient Infrastructure and Communities (BRIC) program and cancel all BRIC applications from fiscal years 2020-2023. Congress established BRIC through the Disaster Recovery Reform Act of 2018 to ensure a stable funding source to support mitigation projects annually. The program has allocated more than $5 billion for investment in mitigation projects to alleviate human suffering and avoid economic losses from floods, wildfires, and other disasters.

At the time, Chad Berginnis, executive director of the Association of State Floodplain Managers (ASFPM), called the decision to terminate BRIC “beyond reckless.”

 “Although ASFPM has had some qualms about how FEMA’s BRIC program was implemented, it was still a cornerstone of our nation’s hazard mitigation strategy, and the agency has worked to make improvements each year,” Berginnis said. “Eliminating it entirely — mid-award cycle, no less — defies common sense.”

Resilience investment is key to long-term insurance availability and affordability.  Average insured catastrophe losses have been on the rise for decades, reflecting a combination of climate-related factors and demographic trends as more people have moved into harm’s way.

Efforts have been made to save BRIC, and a U.S. District Judge in Boston recently granted a preliminary injunction sought by 20 Democrat-led states while their lawsuit over the funding moves ahead. Judge Richard G. Stearns ruled the Trump Administration cannot reallocate $4 billion meant to help communities protect against natural disasters.

In his ruling, Stearns said he was not convinced Congress had given FEMA any discretion to redirect the funds. The states had also shown that the “balance of hardship and public interest” was in their favor.

“There is an inherent public interest in ensuring that the government follows the law, and the potential hardship accruing to the States from the funds being repurposed is great,” Stearns wrote. “The BRIC program is designed to protect against natural disasters and save lives.”

Learn More

2025 Cat Losses to Date Are 2nd-Costliest Since Records Have Been Kept

Russia Quake Highlights Unpredictability of Natural Catastrophes

JIF 2025: Federal Cuts Imperil Resilience Efforts

Louisiana Senator Seeks Resumption of Resilience Investment Program

Texas: A Microcosm of U.S. Climate Perils

BRIC Funding Loss Underscores Need for Collective Action on Climate Resilience

Weather Balloons’ Role in Readiness, Resilience

ClimateTech Connect Confronts Climate Peril From Washington Stage

2025 Cat Losses to Date
Are 2nd-Costliest Since Records Have Been Kept

Global insured losses from natural catastrophes reached $80 billion in the first six months of 2025 alone, making it the second-costliest first half on record since data collection began decades ago, according to reports by reinsurance giants Munich Re and Swiss Re.

Both reports called out the devastating wildfires that swept through Los Angeles County in January as the single most destructive event to date, with both firms estimating that these fires caused $40 billion in insured losses.

What makes these disasters particularly alarming is their timing and location. Both reports emphasized that the Los Angeles fires occurred during California’s normally wet winter season, when such massive blazes are typically unheard of. This seasonal shift represents a troubling new pattern, in which dangerous fire conditions persist year-round, rather than just during traditional fire season.

The reports also agree that severe thunderstorms across the American Midwest and South continued to cause billions in additional damage throughout spring, reinforcing how weather-related disasters are becoming both more frequent and more costly as communities expand into high-risk areas.

Swiss Re and Munich Re both identify the same underlying drivers making these disasters so expensive: More people are building homes and businesses in dangerous areas like wildfire-prone zones and tornado alleys, while climate change is making extreme weather events more intense and unpredictable.

The reports agree that this combination of increased development in risky locations and worsening weather conditions means that what happened in the first half of 2025 is likely just a preview of even costlier disasters to come, unless communities take serious steps to build more resilient infrastructure and avoid construction in the most hazardous areas.

Cat losses and replacement costs

Swiss Re emphasized the growing wildfire threat, pointing out that, before 2015, wildfires on average contributed around 1 percent of the total insured losses from all natural catastrophes worldwide.

“In the last 10 years, this has risen to 7 percent, the costliest periods being a two-year stretch of 2017‒18, and to a lesser extent 2020,” the report said.

Swiss Re also points to severe impact of post-pandemic construction cost inflation, noting that “construction costs rose by 35.64 percent from January 2020 to June 2025, directly impacting property claims costs.”  These higher costs to repair and replace property significantly increase the financial impact of each disaster.

“The best way to avoid losses is to implement effective preventive measures, such as more robust construction for buildings and infrastructure to better withstand natural disasters,” said Thomas Blunck, a member of Munich Re’s Board of Management. “Such precautions can help to maintain reasonable insurance premiums, even in high-risk areas. And most importantly: to reduce future exposure, new building development should not be allowed in high-risk areas.”

Swiss Re cautions that climate change is creating more volatile and unpredictable loss patterns, making catastrophe losses “more difficult to predict.” Together, these trends suggest the U.S. insurance market must prepare for sustained pressure on pricing and availability, particularly in high-risk coastal and wildland-urban interface regions.

Learn More:

Russia Quake Highlights Unpredictability of Natural Catastrophes

Texas: A Microcosm of U.S. Climate Perils

Triple-I Brief Highlights Wildfire Risk Complexity

BRIC Funding Loss Underscores Need for Collective Action on Climate Resilience

P&C Insurance Achieves Best Results Since 2013; Wildfire Losses, Tariffs Threaten 2025 Prospects

Data Granularity Key to Finding Less Risky Parcels in Wildfire Areas

California Finalizes Updated Modeling Rules, Clarifies Applicability Beyond Wildfire

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